FX News
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Attack the currency trend: The EURUSD has been stepping lower with more selling today
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 5:16 pm
The EUR/USD pair continued its downward trend today, extending a week-long selloff as bearish momentum carried the price through key technical levels. Weak European flash PMI data and concerns from ECB officials over growth and inflation pressured the euro, while stronger-than-expected US PMI data (offset slightly by weaker University of Michigan data) provided support for the dollar. The pair broke below the 50% retracement of the trading range at 1.0405, reaching a low of 1.03322 before bouncing slightly.After significant selling, a corrective bounce is expected, but the strength of that correction will determine the next move. Today’s recovery took the price back above the 50% level to a post-low high of 1.0436, just 1 pip shy of the 38.2% retracement of the week’s range at 1.04372. Failure to breach the 38.2% level signals continued seller dominance. The price is now back below the 50% level, further reinforcing bearish control. If the price remains below 1.04372 and sellers push it back under 1.0405, a retest of the low at 1.03322 is likely, with potential for further downside if that level breaks.Conversely, a move back above 1.04372 could invite more upside probing. Initial targets include 1.04697, followed by the falling 100-hour MA at 1.0535 and the 200-hour MA at 1.0551. For now, the pair remains in a seller-driven market, with the focus on whether bearish momentum can extend or if buyers can stage a more meaningful recovery---------------------------------------------EURUSD Technical AnalysisThe EURUSD has continued its downward trend this week, with selling pressure intensifying after weak European flash PMI data and concerns about growth and inflation from ECB officials. In contrast, the US PMI data was stronger than expected.Key Levels:50% Midpoint of the range since 2022 : 1.0405 (broken today)38.2% Level of the weeks trading range: 1.04372 (resistance)100-hour Moving Average: 1.0535 (falling)200-hour Moving Average: 1.0551 (falling)Trading Strategy:If the price stays below 1.04372 (38.2% of the week's trading range) and breaks below 1.0405 (50% of the range since 2022 low), expect a run toward the lows for the day at 1.0332.A break below the lows could lead to further downside probing.If the price moves back above 1.04372 (38.2% of the week's range), expect further upside probing.Targets on the upside include 1.04697, 1.0535, and 1.0551.Current Situation:The current price is ticking back below the 50% midpoint, indicating sellers are in full control.Have you read my book Attacking Currency Trends. You can buy it on Amazon.com https://www.amazon.com/Attacking-Currency-Trends-Anticipate-Market/dp/0470874384/ref=cm_cr_arp_d_product_top?ie=UTF8This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Stocks set for strong weekly gain, US yields slip as markets eye Trump policies
by Reuters (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:10 pm
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U.K. stocks higher at close of trade; Investing.com United Kingdom 100 up 1.38%
by Investing.com (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:10 pm
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Sweden stocks higher at close of trade; OMX Stockholm 30 up 0.71%
by Investing.com (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:10 pm
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Spain stocks higher at close of trade; IBEX 35 up 0.29%
by Investing.com (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:09 pm
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Portugal stocks higher at close of trade; PSI up 0.76%
by Investing.com (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:09 pm
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Netherlands stocks higher at close of trade; AEX up 1.58%
by Investing.com (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:08 pm
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Italy stocks higher at close of trade; Investing.com Italy 40 up 0.61%
by Investing.com (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:07 pm
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Germany stocks higher at close of trade; DAX up 0.83%
by Investing.com (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:06 pm
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Robinhood's chief legal officer Gallagher rules out becoming SEC chair, CNBC reports
by Reuters (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:06 pm
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France stocks higher at close of trade; CAC 40 up 0.58%
by Investing.com (Stock Market News) on November 22, 2024 at 5:05 pm
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USDJPY stalls the fall today and yesterday at the 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 4:21 pm
The USD/JPY pair moved lower in the early Asian session but found support once again near the rising 100-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart, currently at 153.944. This level, which also held yesterday and prompted a bounce, remains a key technical support. Staying above this moving average maintains a bullish bias, while a break below shifts the focus to the 61.8% retracement level at 153.397. Further downside targets include the 200-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 152.314 and the 200-day moving average at 151.941, with each level increasing the bearish bias if broken.On the upside, a swing area near 155.21 serves as the next key resistance. A move above this level would strengthen the bullish case, opening the door to further targets such as the weekly high at 155.88, last week’s high at 156.72, and the 157.921 high from July 19. These levels mark progressive resistance points in a bullish scenario. In summary, the pair's near-term direction hinges on the 100-bar moving average, with a simple rule: staying above supports bullish momentum, while moving below shifts the focus to bearish targets.-----------------------------------------------USDJPY Technical AnalysisThe USDJPY currency pair began the Asian session with a decline, only to find support near its rising 100-bar moving average on the four-hour chart. This moving average is currently at 153.944.Key Support and Resistance Levels:Support: 100-bar moving average on the four-hour chart at 153.944Resistance: Swing area high at 155.21Trading Strategy:Stay above 153.944 for a more bullish outlookMove below 153.944 for a more bearish outlookUpside Targets:High of the week at 155.88High from last week at 156.72High price since July 19 at 157.921Downside Targets:Broken 61.8% level at 153.397200-bar moving average on the four-hour chart at 152.314200-day moving average at 151.941A move below each of these levels would increase the bearish bias.This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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A (local) peak in Gold is now imminent – TDS
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 4:02 pm
The downturn in Gold prices underscored by sharp liquidations from macro funds lined up exceptionally well with historical patterns surrounding drawdowns associated with macro fund liquidations from extreme levels, averaging between 7-10% over the last decade, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
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EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Pair extended losing streak, fell to lowest since February
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 3:51 pm
The EUR/CAD extended its losing streak to four sessions, falling to a low since February on Friday.
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What is the latest tilt for US Treasury Secretary?
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 3:48 pm
The fight for US Treasury Secretary is thought to be coming to a conclusion with Kevin Warsh and Scott Bessent the betting favorite on Polymarket. However, Fox's Gasparino has tweeted that Marc Rowan made a strong pitch for the post to Pres. Trump.Needless to say, the President would want to have someone who would promote his policies of higher tarriffs, extending the tax cuts, fiscal cuts and overall protectionism policies. Below is a summary of the candidates along with the current betting odds from Polymarket. Kevin WarshWarsh, 54, served as a Federal Reserve governor (2006-2011), appointed by Bush and renominated by Obama.Youngest-ever Fed governor, key liaison during the 2007-2008 financial crisis.Currently a visiting fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution, lecturer at Stanford Business School, and adviser to the Congressional Budget Office.Speculated to become Fed Chair in 2026. Married to Estée Lauder heiress Jane Lauder.Marc RowanRowan, 62, is the billionaire co-founder and CEO of Apollo Global Management.Advocated for "wholesale change" in government operations to stabilize federal finances, highlighting Elon Musk's role at DOGE.Criticized UPenn leadership and anti-Israel protests post-2023 Hamas attack; urged donors to withhold support.Scott BessentBessent, founder of Key Square Group and former Yale professor, is a key adviser to Trump's campaign.Supports traditional Republican economic policies and Trump's use of tariffs in trade negotiations.Supports Trump's tariff policies and Republican economic strategies.Proposed a three-point plan: 3% economic growth, reducing the deficit to 3% of GDP, and increasing domestic oil production by 3 million barrels/dayBill HagertyGOP Senator from Tennessee and former Ambassador to JapanConsidered a longshot for Treasury Secretary. Close ties to Trump and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk.The betting marketplace, Polymarket, has Bessent as the small favorite over Keven Warch.This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Week Ahead – RBNZ to Slash Rates Ahead of US and Eurozone Inflation Data
by XM.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 3:23 pm
RBNZ is expected to cut rates by 50 bps at its last policy meeting of 2024 But will PCE inflation data give the green light for a Fed cut? Eurozone flash CPI also critical for ECB’s December decision RBNZ set for third rate cut The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will kick-start the end of The post Week Ahead – RBNZ to Slash Rates Ahead of US and Eurozone Inflation Data appeared first on Action Forex.
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Weekly Focus – Geopolitics Back on the Radar
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 3:18 pm
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons, if they were supported by a nuclear state. The change was an obvious response to US allowing Ukraine The post Weekly Focus – Geopolitics Back on the Radar appeared first on Action Forex.
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Crude Oil ticks back up in the green after US PMI show pickup in activity
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 3:17 pm
Crude Oil price is set to close off this week above $70 after a week filled with headlines on ramped up tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Both countries are rushing to get the tactical upper hand ahead of possible resolution talks once President-
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Sunset Market Commentary
by KBC Bank (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 3:08 pm
Markets November EMU PMI’s were one of the final reality checks going into the December 12 policy meeting (and beyond). Last month, there was a glimmer of hope with the overall index at 50. HCOB analyses even saw tentative signs of some light at the end of the (German) tunnel. However, the November data made The post Sunset Market Commentary appeared first on Action Forex.
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Gold trades higher on Russia-Ukraine escalation
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 3:03 pm
Gold (XAU/USD) rallies for the fifth day in a row, making it a clean-sweep of green daily candlesticks for the week so far.
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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Declines on disappointing data, tumbles to 1.2500
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 3:01 pm
The Pound Sterling extends its losses against the Greenback for the third straight day, is down 0.47% after UK Flash PMIs and Retail Sales data disappointed investors.
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University of Michigan consumer sentiment final for November 71.8 versus 73.7 estimate
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 3:00 pm
Preliminary 73.0Consumer sentiment 71.8 versus 73.7 estimate. Preliminary 73.0. Prior month 70.5Expectations and 76.9 versus 78.5 preliminary. Prior month 74.1Current conditions 63.9 versus 64.4 preliminary. Prior month 64.91-year inflation 2.6% versus 2.6% preliminary5-year inflation 3.2% versus 3.1% preliminary. Prior month 3.0%The data was weaker than the preliminary but up from the prior month. The 1 year inflation was the lowest since December 2022, but the 5 year is the highest since June 2008.Remove is tradingYields:2 year 4.355%, +0.7 basis points5 year 4.287%, -1.6 basis points10 year 4.402%, -3.0 basis pointsLooking at the major indices the flow of funds continues into the Russell 2000 sector with prices up near 1%. The Dow industrial is up 0.59%. Excluding himself the Excel Items in several pieces perspective in one interesting is close access to its seven which mainly since the same class anyway just three checking out distinct especially since changein where's the best relationship is interesting to increase Dow +260 points or 0.59%S&P +12.82 points or 0.22%Nasdaq -12.69 points or -0.07%Russell 2000 was 23.11 points or +0.98%This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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US Dollar sees US PMI's outperform over European PMI's
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 3:00 pm
The US Dollar (USD) printed a fresh two years high, pushing the DXY US Dollar Index above 108.00, after Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for the Eurozone signaled that the region could be on the brink of a recession. The data weighed
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US PMI composite jumps to 55.3, accelerating growth and cooling inflation
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 2:55 pm
The US economy showed signs of stronger momentum in November as PMI data highlighted robust activity in the services sector. PMI Manufacturing improved slightly to 48.8 from 48.5, remaining in contraction but showing some stabilization. Meanwhile, PMI Services surged to a 32-month high of 57.0 from 55.0, boosting the Composite PMI to 55.3, up from The post US PMI composite jumps to 55.3, accelerating growth and cooling inflation appeared first on Action Forex.
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Breaking: US S&P Manufacturing PMI improves to 48.8 in November, Composite PMI rises to 55.3
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 2:52 pm
S&P Global will publish the preliminary estimates of the United States (US) Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) for November on Friday.
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GBP/ZAR Price Forecast: Early-warning signs the short-term trend may reverse
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 2:50 pm
GBP/ZAR has formed a temporary bottom after a steep sell-off.
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Tech giants stumble: Communication services slump amid mixed market signals
by Itai Levitan (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 2:46 pm
Sector OverviewThe stock market is showcasing a mixed bag of performances today, characterized by a notable decline in communication services, while some tech giants experience pressure. Simultaneously, healthcare and consumer defensive sectors are displaying strength.📉 Communication Services: This sector is seeing substantial declines, with Google (GOOG) facing a significant drop of 1.52%. Meta (META) also falls by 0.36%, reflecting cautious investor sentiments.📈 Healthcare: On the brighter side, the healthcare sector is gaining traction. Abbott Laboratories (ABT) and AbbVie (ABBV) are shining, with ABBV rising notably by 1.40% and LLY climbing 1.03%.🔋 Consumer Defensive: Companies such as Walmart (WMT) and Procter & Gamble (PG) are up by 1.19% and 0.74%, respectively, suggesting stability and investor confidence in defensive plays.Market Mood and TrendsThe prevailing market sentiment is one of caution, as investors weigh mixed cues from various sectors. The drop in communication services might indicate looming concerns or reactions to sector-specific dynamics. In contrast, gains in healthcare and consumer defensive suggest that investors may be seeking safe havens amidst the volatility.Strategic RecommendationsInvestors should consider adjusting their portfolios to mitigate exposure to sectors experiencing declines, particularly communication services. Diversifying into healthcare stocks or consumer defensive plays could provide some stability and growth potential. Keeping an eye on upcoming news or reports from major tech companies might be prudent, as they could sway future market trends significantly.For more insights and real-time updates, keep visiting ForexLive.com for comprehensive analysis and expert opinions on market movements.This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.
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S&P global manufacturing PMI 48.8 versus 48.8 estimate. Services 57.0 versus 55.2 estimate
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 2:45 pm
Prior month manufacturing 48.5. Prior month services 55.0S&P global flash manufacturing index 48.8 vs 48.8 estimateS&P global flash services index 57.0 vs 55.2 estimate. Best since March 2022Composite 55.3 vs 54.1 last monthFuture Sentiment:Future output optimism rebounded for the second consecutive month in November, reaching the highest level since May 2022.Manufacturing sector optimism hit a 31-month high, suggesting potential for more balanced economic expansion.Improved sentiment attributed to reduced political uncertainty following the US Presidential Election.Expectations of lower interest rates, lower inflation, and better economic conditions contributed to positive outlooks.A more business-friendly incoming administration, with expectations of looser regulations and protection measures, boosted optimism, particularly in manufacturing.EmploymentEmployment declined for the fourth consecutive month in November, with job losses reaching a three-month high.The services sector saw an increased rate of payroll reductions.Manufacturing jobs rose for the first time in four months, partially offsetting losses in the services sector.The decline in overall employment contrasts with improved business confidence about the year ahead.Prices:Average prices for goods and services rose modestly in November, with inflation at its lowest since June 2020.Inflation remained below the pre-pandemic long-run average.Services sector inflation moderated significantly, with prices rising marginally at the slowest rate since May 2020.Manufacturing selling prices increased slightly, showing a minor uptick in inflationFrom Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market IntelligenceThe business mood has brightened in November, with confidence about the year ahead hitting a two-and-a-half year high. The prospect of lower interest rates and a more probusiness approach from the incoming administration has fueled greater optimism, in turn helping drive output and order book inflows higher in November. The rise in the headline flash PMI indicates that economic growth is accelerating in the fourth quarter, while at the same time inflationary pressures are cooling. The survey's price gauge covering goods and services signalled only a marginal increase in prices in November, pointing to consumer inflation running well below the Fed's 2% target. A concern is that growth remains heavily reliant on the services economy, with manufacturing production declining at an increased rate. However, the promise of greater protectionism and tariffs has helped lift confidence in the US good producing sector, which is already feeding through to higher factory employment. Factories are meanwhile stepping up their purchases of imported inputs as they seek to front-run tariffs, putting pressure on supply chains to a degree not seen for over two years. Any further stretching of these supply lines could see prices move higher as demand outstrips supply.The USD has moved higher on the better data:USDJPY is testing the 200 hour MA at 154.95. Move above it and the 155.00 and the buyers are back in control in the short term. .EURUSD moved lower and away from the 38.2% of the week's trading range at 1.04697. The price is testing the 50% midpoint of the range since 2022.This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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BTCUSD Historic Rally Flirts With 100k
by XM.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 2:42 pm
BTCUSD nonstop rally almost reaches 100k Caution needed as market looks overbought BTCUSD (Bitcoin) is experiencing one of its best moments in its history, having rocketed by 40% to reach an all-time high of 98,670 in just a month as investors swallowed Trump’s promising crypto regulatory pledges and at the same time sought safety against a The post BTCUSD Historic Rally Flirts With 100k appeared first on Action Forex.
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Canada: Retail Sales End the Third Quarter on a Solid Footing
by TD Bank Financial Group (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 2:39 pm
Retail sales rose by a healthy 0.4% month-over-month (m/m) in September, in line with Statistics Canada’s advance estimate. Sales were even stronger in real terms. When adjusted for inflation, the volume of retail sales was 0.8% higher on the month. One weak spot was sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers, which declined by 0.7% The post Canada: Retail Sales End the Third Quarter on a Solid Footing appeared first on Action Forex.
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US indices are trading marginally higher to start the day
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 2:38 pm
The major US stock indices are marginally higher to start the new trading day:Dow industrial average is up 80 points or 0.19% at 43960S&P index is up 6.47 points or 0.10% of 5954.90NASDAQ index is now trading marginally lower by 4.5 points or -0.2% at 18963.The S&P global/manufacturing and services data will be released at 9:45 AM ET with expectations for manufacturing at 48.8 and services and 55.2.The two-year. Yield is trading at 4.340%, -0.8 basis points while the 10-year yield is at 4.406%, -2.6 basis pointsThis article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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AUDUSD trading near the middle of the range for the week. Some ST bullish.Some ST bearish.
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 2:35 pm
The AUDUSD opened the week below a swing area between 0.6471 and 0.6479. On Monday the price moved above that area and stayed above it for the rest the week. In trading today, the low price move down to test a low of that swing area but found willing sellers. The price has since rotated toward the middle of what is the trading range for the week with a high near 0.6544. In the middle is the 100 and 200 hour moving averages between 0.6498 and 0.6508. The price is currently trading between those two moving averages wait for the next shove. That shove may come from the flash PMI data to be released at 9:45 AM ,. Fd by the Michigan consumer sentiment at 10 AMThis article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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EUR/USD slumps as weak Eurozone PMI prompts ECB outsize rate cut bets
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 2:30 pm
EUR/USD recovers some of the intraday losses after posting a fresh almost two-year low near 1.0330 in North American trading hours on Friday.
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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Resumes uptrend after pullback
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 2:27 pm
USD/CHF is striking higher again after a brief pullback from overbought levels.
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NZD/USD Price Analysis: More downside looks likely towards 0.5770
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 2:24 pm
The NZD/USD pair rebounds slightly after posting a fresh yearly low near 0.5820 in the North American session on Friday.
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Exclusive: Prop Firm My Forex Funds and the CFTC Are Probably Negotiating a Settlement
by Arnab Shome (Retail FX – Finance Magnates | Financial and business news) on November 22, 2024 at 2:07 pm
There is a high probability that a settlement deal is being negotiated between the proprietary trading firm My Forex Funds and regulators in the US and Canada, Finance Magnates has learned exclusively.Ongoing NegotiationsThe possible negotiation follows lawsuits filed against the firm and its CEO, Murtuza Kazmi, by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC).The company’s legal fight with the CFTC has disrupted the proprietary trading industry, prompting other firms to swiftly modify language on their websites. Many have added terms such as “simulated” and “virtual” to clarify the nature of their services.The CFTC initially charged My Forex Funds and Kazmi with fraud at the end of August 2023. According to the regulator, the company generated at least $310 million in fees from its proprietary trading business. The platform had more than 135,000 customers between November 2021 and its forced closure.However, the regulatory action, including a temporary restraining order and an asset freeze, effectively shuttered the business overnight. After a legal challenge by the defendants’ lawyers, a court unfroze most of Kazmi's assets.Misrepresentation of FactsThe defendants also pointed to misrepresentation of facts in obtaining the asset freeze order, claiming it resulted from the regulatory staff’s “bad faith.” This prompted a motion for a sanctions order against the regulator.Interestingly, one of the CFTC commissioners, Caroline Pham, publicly criticized the regulator's actions in the case against My Forex Funds, questioning the work ethics of its staff.Later, Republican Senator Charles Grassley of Iowa addressed the issue by sending a letter to the Chairman of the CFTC. He raised concerns about the “process and procedure” of the regulator’s administrative actions and inquired whether disciplinary measures had been taken against staff involved in the alleged misconduct. Although his letter did not explicitly mention My Forex Funds by name, it referenced details of the lawsuit.This article was written by Arnab Shome at www.financemagnates.com.
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US stocks are mixed in premarket trading
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 2:05 pm
The futures are implying a mixed opening with 30 minutes to go until the opening bellDow is up 19 pointsS&P index is down -4.21 pointsNASDAQ index is down -35.78 pointsLooking at the US debt market:2-year 4.338%, -1.0 basis points5-year 4.282%, -2.2 basis points10-year 4.402%, -3.0 basis points30-year 4.593%, -2.7 basis pointsLooking at other markets: Crude oil is trading down $0.15 at $70Gold is trading up $21 or 0.82% at $2691.21Silver is trading up $0.33 or 1.11% at $31.11.Bitcoin is trading down -$691 at $97,760 after reaching a high of $99,500 just short of Bitcoin 100KThis article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Euro and Sterling Under Fire after PMIs, Swiss Franc Reverses Gains
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 2:01 pm
European majors are experiencing significant selling pressure today, with Euro leading the declines. Euro sharply depreciated as traders increased their bets on an aggressive 50 bps rate cut by ECB in December, following dismal PMI data. Market expectations for such a cut have surged to 50%, a substantial rise from around 15% just a day The post Euro and Sterling Under Fire after PMIs, Swiss Franc Reverses Gains appeared first on Action Forex.
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USD/JPY edges lower after stronger-than-expected Japanese inflation, stimulus package
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 2:01 pm
USD/JPY is trading a touch lower in the 154.30s on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) due to the release of higher-than-expected Japanese macroeconomic data, and Tokyo’s announcement of a $250 billion economic stimulus package.
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USD/CAD turns upside down on steady Canadian Retail Sales growth, US Dollar retraces
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 1:55 pm
The USD/CAD pair surrenders its entire intraday gains and ticks down as the Canadian Retail Sales data grew steadily in September and the US Dollar (USD) gives up a majority of its intraday gains after refreshing a two-year high.
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ECBs Nagel (Hawk): PMI data confirms that Germany is stagnating
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 1:53 pm
ECB Nagel is on the wires saying"PMI data confirm that Germany is stagnating and start of next year will be complicatedNeed to wait for next projections before discussing rate capsize.We are on the right trackNagel is considered more of a hawk.The EURUSD fell sharply earlier today off of the weaker than expected PMI data, The price did snapback higher moving back above the 50% midpoint of the range since the 2022 low. The 50% retracement comes in at 1.0405. The corrective high came in just below the 38.2% retracement of the range for this week's trading. That level comes in at 1.04372.The 50% is acting as close support at 1.0405, while the 38.2% is close resistant 1.04372. Look for breaks to help dictate the next move. Do sellers keep in firm control, or does the focus shift to a weaker dollar?This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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ECBs Villeroy: ECB is achieving a soft landing
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 1:41 pm
ECBs Villeroy is weighing in after weaker data today:ECB is achieving a soft landingNot behind the curve todayWill pay close atttention to risk of undershooting target, keeping economic activity unnecessarily subdued.See continuity of resilence of growthThe PMI flash data today were soft (is that a soft landing). Each missed expectations to the downside that is....EUR German Final GDP q/q: MISSED - Actual 0.1% vs. Forecast 0.2%, Previous 0.2%.GBP Retail Sales m/m: MISSED - Actual -0.7% vs. Forecast -0.3%, Previous 0.1%.EUR French Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 43.2 vs. Forecast 44.6, Previous 44.5.EUR French Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 45.7 vs. Forecast 49.1, Previous 49.2.EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI: MET - Actual 43.2 vs. Forecast 43.1, Previous 43.0.EUR German Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 49.4 vs. Forecast 51.6, Previous 51.6.EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 45.2 vs. Forecast 46.0, Previous 46.0.EUR Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 49.2 vs. Forecast 51.6, Previous 51.6.GBP Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 48.6 vs. Forecast 50.0, Previous 49.9.GBP Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 50.0 vs. Forecast 51.9, Previous 52.0.This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Canada retail sales rises 0.4% mom in Sep, 0.7% mom in Oct
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 1:37 pm
Canada’s retail sales rose by 0.4% mom in September to CAD 66.9B, slightly above market expectations of a 0.3% mom increase. Gains were observed in six out of nine subsectors, with food and beverage retailers leading the growth. Core retail sales, which exclude gasoline and motor vehicle-related sectors, surged by a robust 1.4% mom, highlighting The post Canada retail sales rises 0.4% mom in Sep, 0.7% mom in Oct appeared first on Action Forex.
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Canada retail sales for September 0.4% vs 0.4% estimate
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 1:30 pm
Prior month 0.4%Retail sales for September x.x% vs 0.4% est.Ex Auto 0.9% vs 0.5% est. Prior month revised -0.8% from -0.7%Advanced retail sales estimate for October 0.7%Details:Retail sales increased 0.4% to $66.9 billion in September, with gains in six of nine subsectors, led by food and beverage retailers.Core retail sales (excluding gasoline, fuel vendors, and motor vehicles/parts) rose 1.4% in September.Retail sales in volume terms increased 0.8% in September.Retail sales were up 0.9% in Q3, with a 1.3% increase in volume terms.Food and beverage retailers saw a 3.0% rise in sales, driven by a 3.3% increase at supermarkets and grocery retailers, following a 1.9% decline in August.Beer, wine, and liquor store sales increased 4.4%, marking the first rise in three months.Sales at building material and garden equipment/supplies dealers increased 3.0% in September.Core retail sales decreased for clothing, accessories, shoes, jewelry, and related goods, down 0.8% in September.From the providences:Retail sales increased in five provinces in September, with Alberta leading at +2.3%, driven by higher sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers.Quebec saw a 0.6% rise in retail sales, with a 0.3% increase in the Montréal CMA.Ontario experienced the largest provincial decline at -0.1%, due to lower sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers, while sales in the Toronto CMA remained unchangedThe price of USDCAD has moved lower. The price is back below the 200 and 100 hour MA at 1.4000 and 1.3988. Staying below t..4000 keeps the sellers in firm control. The 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart comes in at 1.3954. Move below it and staying below, is more bearish with swing area low at 1.3945 and then the low for the week at 1.3930 as downside targets.This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Canada October new housing price index MoM -0.4% vs 0.1% expected
by Giuseppe Dellamotta (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 1:30 pm
Prior was 0.0%New Housing Price Index YoY 0.8% vs 0.2% prior.This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 1:20 pm
Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.82; (P) 154.64; (R1) 155.36; More… USD/JPY is still bounded in range trading and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, break of 156.74 will resume the whole rally from 139.57 towards 161.94 high. On the downside, though, break of 153.27 will resume the correction towards 38.2% retracement of 139.57 to 156.74 The post USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook appeared first on Action Forex.
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USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 1:17 pm
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8835; (P) 0.8854; (R1) 0.8886; More… USD/CHF’s rally from 0.8374 resumed by breaking 0.8916 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rise should be seen towards 0.9223 key resistance next. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8800 support holds, in case of retreat. In the bigger picture, The post USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook appeared first on Action Forex.
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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 1:14 pm
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2557; (P) 1.2609; (R1) 1.2641; More… GBP/USD’s accelerates lower today and intraday bias stays on the downside for 100% projection of 1.3433 to 1.2842 to 1.3047 at 1.2456. Decisive break there will extend the fall from 1.3433 to 1.2298 cluster support zone. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long The post GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook appeared first on Action Forex.
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What technical levels are in play for some of the major currencies vs the USD for Nov 22
by Greg Michalowski (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 1:12 pm
The European data was yucky (if I can use a favorite word of my grandson). All the data from German GDP, to UK retail sales and flash services and manufacturing data missed the expectations. Only one, UK flash services PMI, was 50.0 or better and it came in right at 50.0. Below is summary of that data. Yucky:EUR German Final GDP q/q: MISSED - Actual 0.1% vs. Forecast 0.2%, Previous 0.2%.GBP Retail Sales m/m: MISSED - Actual -0.7% vs. Forecast -0.3%, Previous 0.1%.EUR French Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 43.2 vs. Forecast 44.6, Previous 44.5.EUR French Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 45.7 vs. Forecast 49.1, Previous 49.2.EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 43.2 vs. Forecast 43.1, Previous 43.0.EUR German Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 49.4 vs. Forecast 51.6, Previous 51.6.EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 45.2 vs. Forecast 46.0, Previous 46.0.EUR Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 49.2 vs. Forecast 51.6, Previous 51.6.GBP Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 48.6 vs. Forecast 50.0, Previous 49.9.GBP Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 50.0 vs. Forecast 51.9, Previous 52.0.The data pushed the EUR and GBP lower. The CHF also moved lower in sympathy. The USDJPY saw the JPY move lower but then move back to unchanged. For the commodity currencies, they are also weaker vs. the USD.SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel emphasized the importance of Switzerland maintaining a flexible inflation target, which has allowed the central bank to respond effectively to economic shocks. He highlighted the central bank's primary tools as the policy rate and foreign exchange interventions. Schlegel noted that the global economic slowdown has impacted Switzerland more significantly due to the franc's appreciation, acknowledging its role as a safe-haven currency. He reaffirmed the SNB's commitment to ensuring price stability amidst these challenges.Next week, the RBNZ will meet. A Reuters poll released yesterday sees a 50 bp cut to 4.25% from 4.75% currently. Yields are lower in Europe and the US to start the day:German -8.4 bpsUK -4.9 bpsFrance -9.0 bpsSpain -9.1 bpsItaly -6.8 bpsIn the US:2 year -2.3 bps5 year -3.6 bps10 year -4.2 bps30 year -4.1 bpsStocks are mixed in Europe with German Dax up 0.34%, France's CAC up 0.10 and UK FTSE 100 up 0.93%.In the US, the futures are implying mixed levels:Dow +27.35 points. Yesterday the index rose 461 points or 1.06%S&P -3.71 points. Yesterday the index rose 31.60 points or 0.53%Nasdaq -28.75 points. Yesterday the index rose 6.28 points or 0.03%For the week, going into the last day of trading this wee:Dow up 0.98%S&P up 1.33%Nasdaq up 1.56%IN other markets:Crude oil is -$0.78 at $69.36Gold is up $28.83 or 1.07% at $2698Bitcoin reached a new high at $99.500 just short of BITCOIN $100K. The price is currently trading at $98,500. The low today reached $97,956. Today Canada retail sales (Est +0.4% and ex-auto +0.5%) will be released at 8:30 along with Canada New Housing prices (last 0.0%). Later at 9:45 AM ET, the US S&P Global PMI flash data will be released with Manufacturing expected at 48.8 vs 47.8 last month. The Services is estimated at 55.2 vs 55.3 last month. University of Michigan Final for November is expected at 73.7 vs 73.0 preliminary and 70.5 last month with 1 year inflation 2.6% and 5 year inflation at 3.1%. A look at the technicals for some of the major currency pairs going into the day shows:EURUSD: The EURUSD fell on the data today and breached the 50% of the trading range since the 2022 low (to the 2023 high). That level comes in at 1.04053. On the daily chart, if go back to 2022 swing lows and highs from May, June and August, that area came in at 1.03485 to 1.03678. The selling did not stop until reaching 1.0332. Since then the price has bounced higher to 1.04368. The 38.2% of the move down from the high this week comes in at 1.04372. Staying below that retracement makes the correction a plain-vanilla variety. It would take a move above to give the buyers a glimpse of victory. Absent that, and they are losing. THe 50% of the range since 2022 (not shown) at 1.0405 is where the US session is beginning. Move below with momentum could give the sellers more confidence to push back toward the lows. Stay above, and a battle between 38.2% on hourly and 50% on the daily is likely. USDJPY: The USDJP is watching the show in Europe today. Looking at the hourly chart below, the low for the day in the Asian session stalled at the 100 bar MA on 4-hour chart (blue line currently at 153.933. The subsequent move higher saw the price get above the 100-hour MA at 154.719, but find willing sellers at the 200 hour MA at 154.946. The price at 154.53 is in the middle of the support and resistance targets. GBPUSD: The GBPUSD fell below the 50% on the daily chart below at 1.26147 yesterday, continuing that momentum lower in trading today. the price fell on the data to and through a trend line on the daily at 1.2497. The low reached 1.2487 before bouncing back higher. The current price is at 1.2512. Today, look for more momentum below the support near the natural support at 1.2500 and the trend line at 1.2497. The first break failed. Will a second break? Looking at the 4-hour chart of GBPUSD below, it will take a move back above 1.2596 to 1.26137 to hur the bearish bias in the pair. Sellers in firm control in the GBPUSD below that old floor area (now a ceiling). WIll the USD PMI be yucky too today and reverse the USD higher move seen so far today?This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Mexican Peso shrugs off GDP and inflation data
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 1:12 pm
The Mexican Peso (MXN) trades mixed in its most-traded pairs as the week draws to a close, with idiosyncratic factors impacting each one – the US Dollar (USD), Euro (EUR) and Pound Sterling (GBP) – differently.
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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 1:11 pm
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0439; (P) 1.0497; (R1) 1.0532; More… EUR/USD’s decline accelerated to as low as 1.0330 so far and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 1.0404 key fiboncci level will carry larger bearish implications. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 1.1213 to 1.0760 from 1.0936 at 1.0203. Nevertheless, strong The post EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook appeared first on Action Forex.
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Pound Sterling hits hard by decline in UK Retail Sales, flash PMI
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 12:58 pm
The Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens against a majority of its peers, except the Euro (EUR), as the United Kingdom (UK) flash S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for November surprisingly declined and the Retail Sales data for October contracted at a faster-than-expected pace.
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GBP/USD: GBP has stabilized just above 1.25 – Scotiabank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 12:47 pm
UK data reports today were roundly disappointing, weighing on the Pound Sterling (GBP).
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SNB chairman Schlegel: Switzerland needs flexible inflation target, as it currently has
by Justin Low (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 12:45 pm
Inflation target has allowed central bank to respond flexibly to shocksCentral bank's main tools are policy rate, FX interventionsGlobal economy slowdown has hit Switzerland harder due to currency appreciationRecognises franc's safe haven natureWill continue to ensure price stabilityNot really anything noteworthy there by Schlegel. For now, the SNB is still expected to cut its policy rate once again in December. The odds of a 25 bps rate cut right now are ~72% with the remainder tied to a 50 bps move.This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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EUR/JPY Price Prediction: November bear trend unfolds
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 12:43 pm
EUR/JPY staircases down from its Halloween peak as it unfolds in a short-term downtrend during November.
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EUR/USD: EUR slumps on weak PMI data – Scotibank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 12:42 pm
The Euro (EUR) plunged in response to poor macro data reports earlier.
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USDCAD Trades Higher, Bounces Off a Key Trendline
by XM.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 12:40 pm
USDCAD is edging higher today, a tad above 1.3977 It bounced off the September 25, 2024 trendline Momentum indicators are gradually turning bearish USDCAD is edging higher today, trading a tad above the October 13, 2022 high at 1.3977. CAD bulls’ latest attempt to push USDCAD below the September 25, 2024 ascending trendline failed, with The post USDCAD Trades Higher, Bounces Off a Key Trendline appeared first on Action Forex.
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USD/CAD: CAD softer but outperforms most peers – Scotiabank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 12:39 pm
USD/CAD got caught in the crossfire of the hefty US Dollar (USD) advance against the European currencies earlier, rising quickly from the mid/upper 1.39s to an intraday high near 1.4020.
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USD/CAD Flirting With 140, Retail Sales Next
by MarketPulse (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 12:39 pm
The Canadian dollar is lower on Friday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3998 at the time of writing, up 0.16% on the day. On the data calendar, Canada releases retail sales and the US publishes the services and manufacturing PMIs. Canada’s retail sales expected to fall Canada’s retail sales for September The post USD/CAD Flirting With 140, Retail Sales Next appeared first on Action Forex.
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GBP/USD Outlook: Cable Falls to New Multi-Month Low After Disappointing UK Economic Data
by Windsor Brokers Ltd (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 12:36 pm
GBPUSD dipped below 1.2500 handle and hit new lowest in 6 ½ months on Friday, after disappointing UK October retail sales and November PMI numbers further weakened sterling, adding to worsened geopolitical picture on threats of stronger escalation of war in Ukraine. Strengthening dollar on euphoria of Trump trades, as well as increased safe-haven demand The post GBP/USD Outlook: Cable Falls to New Multi-Month Low After Disappointing UK Economic Data appeared first on Action Forex.
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Gold Hits New Highs in Euro
by FxPro (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 12:34 pm
Gold returned to growth after nearly three weeks of decline, reversing last week’s drop. The desire for a safe haven for global capital is so strong that it far outweighs the effect of a stronger dollar. The growing tension around the Russia-Ukraine conflict has brought gold back into the focus of investors due to pressure The post Gold Hits New Highs in Euro appeared first on Action Forex.
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USD surges on weak European data – Scotiabank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 12:34 pm
The US Dollar (USD) is ending the week on a strong note. The DXY raced to a new, two-year high overnight in response to weak European data but has conceded a lot of those gains ahead of North American trading, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Poor PMI data weighs on euro, pound
by Justin Low (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 12:32 pm
Headlines:Euro slumps to near two-year low as PMI data disappointsEURUSD Technical Analysis – The Euro falls to the lowest level since 2022Poor French and German PMI data keeps ECB 50 bps rate cut in playStocks stumble in European morning tradeGold weathers the storm and looks to make it five for five in trading this weekEurozone November flash services PMI 49.2 vs 51.6 expectedGermany November flash manufacturing PMI 43.2 vs 43.0 expectedFrance November flash services PMI 45.7 vs 49.0 expectedUK November flash services PMI 50.0 vs 52.0 expectedUK October retail sales -0.7% vs -0.3% m/m expectedGermany Q3 final GDP +0.1% vs +0.2% q/q prelimMarkets:JPY leads, EUR and GBP lag on the dayEuropean equities lower; S&P 500 futures down 0.1%US 10-year yields down 4.2 bps to 4.390%Gold up 1.1% to $2,698.77WTI crude down 0.8% to $69.55Bitcoin up 0.6% to $98,636The big mover on the day is the euro as poor PMI data from France and Germany acted as a trigger for the single currency to slide lower during the session. The data misses reignited hopes for a 50 bps rate cut by the ECB for next month and in turn, that weighed on the euro alongside a key technical break in EUR/USD itself.The pair had already prepped for this in a drop below 1.0500 yesterday but then cracked below the October 2023 low of 1.0448 on the data. Upon that, it was a quick and swift slide lower all the way down to 1.0331 before the pair is seen holding closer to 1.0400 now - down 0.7% on the day.As the euro slumped, EUR/CHF also briefly hit a record low of 0.9201 but is now keeping just above key daily support around 0.9250.And it wasn't just the euro that got a knock down from poor PMI data. The pound also suffered the same fate later with UK PMI data disappointing and keeping BOE watchers on their toes. The central bank is still not likely to cut again next month but the narrative is building that they will have to move again sooner rather than later.GBP/USD fell from around 1.2570 to test waters just below 1.2500 during the session and is now keeping close to the figure level, down 0.7% on the day. The drop now sees the pair hold at its lowest levels since May.Besides that, the dollar in general remains steadier as it keeps little changed against the yen while sitting higher against the franc and commodity currencies.In broader markets though, the overall mood is more mixed. Bond yields are lower in both the US and Europe after the more sluggish PMI readings, adding to global growth worries. Meanwhile, stocks also stumbled lower after the data but have recovered slightly now ahead of US trading. S&P 500 futures were down as much as 0.5% but are now down just 0.1% ahead of the open.Elsewhere, gold is staying poised to make it five straight days of gains in testing $2,700 again. And Bitcoin remains perky as we wait on the headline to confirm the cryptocurrency hitting six figures for the first time in history.Have a great weekend, everyone.This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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Saxo and novobanco Collaborate to Drive Digital Investment Access in Portugal
by Tareq Sikder (Retail FX – Finance Magnates | Financial and business news) on November 22, 2024 at 12:19 pm
Saxo, a multi-asset trading and investment firm, has partnered with novobanco, a Portuguese bank, to provide novobanco clients with access to Saxo’s advanced trading platform. This partnership aims to offer a fully digital investment experience to Portuguese investors.New Platform Expands Investment OpportunitiesUnder this agreement, novobanco will integrate Saxo's platform, allowing its clients to explore a broader range of investment opportunities. The move aligns with the increasing digitalization of financial services in Portugal, where more investors are seeking digital platforms that provide diverse investment options.“As a bank fully focused on the customer and their needs, we believe that this partnership is an enabler of the Wealth Management journey we have embarked upon by allowing both a democratization and a digitalization of the investment experience,” Elisabete Pinto Pereira, Director of Investment and Protection, novobanco, said.Finance Magnates previously reported that Saxo Bank A/S is closing its Hong Kong office, citing changes in the business environment as the reason. The company also announced the closure of its Shanghai office. However, Saxo emphasized that it will continue to operate in the Asia-Pacific region from its Singapore base.In a statement, Saxo described the decision as “difficult but necessary” and confirmed that it has ceased accepting new clients. The company emphasized that its primary focus is on managing a “smooth offboarding process” for impacted clients and partners.🤝🏽novobanco and Saxo Bank partner to launch an investment platform aimed at retail and professional clients🔗 #platform #investment #RankiaProEuropehttps://t.co/bTnWmU76NL pic.twitter.com/XbKVPNxubj— RankiaPro Europe (@RankiaProEN) November 20, 2024Investment Platform Upgrades for PortugalThe partnership will leverage novobanco’s existing services and enhance its offerings by incorporating Saxo’s award-winning platform. The platform offers a wide range of trading and analytical tools, designed to support both individual investors and traders in accessing global markets. This collaboration aims to allow investors by giving them access to a more comprehensive set of financial instruments and state-of-the-art tools for better decision-making.“As a leading digital trading and investment services provider, Saxo is thrilled to expand the relationship with the novobanco Group and contribute to their drive towards improved customer centricity,” commented Henrik Alsøe, Global Head of Saxo Institutional.“We believe our respective expertise can drive mutual innovations as we help naturally curious people get invested in the global financial markets. The novobanco – Saxo combination offers Portuguese retail investors unparalleled choice in a time when more and more people want to take control of their own investments.”This article was written by Tareq Sikder at www.financemagnates.com.
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The recovery rally in the Gold market is likely to take a breather – Commerzbank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 12:07 pm
The Gold price has also recovered more than half of its losses since the end of October and is once again trading at $2,700 per troy ounce, Commerzbank’s commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
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Swiss Gold exports reflect weak demand for Gold in Asia – Commerzbank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:59 am
The Swiss Federal Customs Authority published data on Gold exports in October this week, Commerzbank’s commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
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Concerns about supply disruptions cause oil prices to rise – Commerzbank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:56 am
Oil prices have risen noticeably over the past few days. Brent climbed to $74.8 per barrel in the morning, gaining almost 5% since the beginning of the week, Commerzbank’s commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
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USD/CNH: The major resistance at 7.2800 is likely out of reach – UOB Group
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:50 am
The US Dollar (USD) could to rise to 7.2630; the major resistance at 7.2800 is likely out of reach.
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TRY: Unexpectedly dovish – Commerzbank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:46 am
The Turkish central bank (CBT) held rates unchanged yesterday, as had been unanimously expected, but turned somewhat dovish in its language, contrary to our expectation.
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JPY: The price of rice – Commerzbank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:46 am
The statistics on Japanese inflation have a peculiarity. In most countries, the categories of food and energy are excluded when calculating core inflation.
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USD/JPY: Decline is unlikely to threaten the major support at 153.30 – UOB Group
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:42 am
Bias for the US Dollar (USD) is tilted to the downside; any decline is unlikely to threaten the major support at 153.30.
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Russia deputy prime minister says oil market is balanced thanks to OPEC+
by Justin Low (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 11:35 am
Novak had graduated from being Russia's energy minister to deputy prime minister but he is still very much involved with OPEC+ matters. In the meeting today, he basically just reaffirmed the partnership between Russia and OPEC. Adding that:"Russia will continue to be a key player in the oil market, maintaining its status as a reliable supplier. The OPEC+ member countries are in constant contact, monitor the market situation and are ready to flexibly and promptly respond to any changes in market conditions. The current mechanism for implementing the OPEC+ Agreement is the most effective tool for maximizing the efficiency of oil production and state revenues."OPEC is also out with a statement saying that the meeting highlights "the important partnership between the Russian Federation and OPEC at all levels". It looks like this pact will continue for a while more.This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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RUB: US sanctions more systemic banks – Commerzbank
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:33 am
US OFAC announced additional sanctions on Russia yesterday, including on systemic banks which had hitherto been exempt because of the energy trade.
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AUD/USD bounces back to near 0.6500 as USD gives up majority of gains
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:29 am
The AUD/USD pair recovers more than half of its intraday losses and rebounds to near the psychological figure of 0.6500 in Friday’s European session.
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NZD/USD: Likely to edge lower – UOB Group
by FXStreet Forex & Commodities News on November 22, 2024 at 11:24 am
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is under mild downward pressure; it is likely to edge lower, possibly testing 0.5835 before the risk of a rebound increases.
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EURUSD Technical Analysis – The Euro falls to the lowest level since 2022
by Giuseppe Dellamotta (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 11:07 am
Fundamental OverviewOverall, we’ve seen a rangebound price action in the US Dollar this week as the market’s pricing remained largely unchanged due to the lack of catalysts at three rate cuts by the end of 2025.This morning, we saw some strong bids in the greenback entirely due to the weak Eurozone PMIs as the flows in the pair spilled over to other markets. On the EUR side, the probabilities for a 50 bps cut in December rose to 63% from 26% before the PMIs. By the end of 2025, the market sees a total of 142 bps of easing. EURUSD Technical Analysis – Daily TimeframeOn the daily chart, we can see that EURUSD broke through the key support zone around the 1.05 handle yesterday and extended the drop into the 1.0335 level this morning on weak Eurozone PMIs. From a risk management perspective, the sellers will have a better risk to reward setup around the previous support now turned resistance. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price rising back above the 1.05 handle to invalidate the bearish setup and position for a rally into the major trendline.EURUSD Technical Analysis – 4 hour TimeframeOn the 4 hour chart, we can see that we have another downward trendline now defining the current bearish momentum. If we were to get a pullback, the sellers will likely lean on it to position for a drop into new lows, while the buyers will look for a break higher to pile in for a rally into the major trendline. EURUSD Technical Analysis – 1 hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour chart, we can see that we have a minor resistance zone around the 1.06 handle. This is where the sellers keep on stepping in to target the break below the 1.05 handle. The buyers, on the other hand, will need the price to break higher to start targeting new highs. The red lines define the average daily range for today. Upcoming CatalystsToday we conclude the week with the US PMIs.This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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USD/CAD flirting with 140, retail sales next
by Kenny Fisher (MarketPulse) on November 22, 2024 at 10:43 am
The Canadian dollar is lower on Friday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3998 at the time of writing, up 0.16% on the day. On the data calendar, Canada releases retail sales and the US publishes the services and manufacturing PMIs. Canada’s retail sales expected to fall Canada’s retail sales for September
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EUR/USD Breaks 2023 Low
by FXOpen (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 10:40 am
Today’s PMI figures were released and came in worse than analysts’ expectations. The Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI for both Germany and France fell below the 50.0 threshold, indicating that Europe’s economy is slowing down. This weakened the euro further and exacerbated the situation on the EUR/USD chart, which has been in a The post EUR/USD Breaks 2023 Low appeared first on Action Forex.
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British Retail Sales Decline, Pound Extends Losses
by MarketPulse (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 10:38 am
The British pound is lower for a straight third trading day on Friday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2543, down 0.36% on the day. UK retail sales weaker than expected UK retail sales disappointed in October, with a sharp decline of 0.7% m/m. This follows a downwardly revised 0.1% gain in The post British Retail Sales Decline, Pound Extends Losses appeared first on Action Forex.
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Crypto Market Buzzing in Anticipation of Regulatory Change
by FxPro (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 10:37 am
Market Picture Crypto market capitalisation surpassed $3.3 trillion, up 3.8% in the last 24 hours. Ethereum (+7.4%), Solana (+7.5%), XRP (+24%), and Cardano (+9.6%) provided traction. The price of Bitcoin broke through $99K on Friday morning, continuing its steady assault on all-time highs. A strong inflow of capital into spot BTC ETFs is fuelling the The post Crypto Market Buzzing in Anticipation of Regulatory Change appeared first on Action Forex.
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USDCHF Technical Analysis - The USD gets a bid on weak Eurozone PMIs
by Giuseppe Dellamotta (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 10:10 am
Fundamental OverviewOverall, we’ve seen a rangebound price action in the US Dollar this week as the market’s pricing remained largely unchanged at three rate cuts by the end of 2025 for the Fed.This morning, we saw some strong bids in the greenback due to the weak Eurozone PMIs as the flows there spilled over to other markets. On the CHF side, nothing has changed as the market continues to price a 72% chance of a 25 bps cut in December and a total of 70 bps of easing by the end of 2025. USDCHF Technical Analysis – Daily TimeframeOn the daily chart, we can see that USDCHF spiked back to the recent high around the 0.8915 level following the weak Eurozone PMIs. From a risk management perspective, the buyers will have a better risk to reward setup around the major upward trendline to position for a rally into the 0.9050 level next. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking below the trendline to start targeting new lows.USDCHF Technical Analysis – 4 hour TimeframeOn the 4 hour chart, we can see more clearly the upward spike this morning into the recent highs. This is where we can expect the sellers to step in with a defined risk above the high to position for a drop into the major trendline. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to increase the bullish bets into the 0.9050 level next.USDCHF Technical Analysis – 1 hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour chart, we can see that we now have a minor upward trendline defining the current bullish momentum into the high. If we were to get a pullback, the buyers will likely lean on it to position for a break above the recent highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to increase the bearish bets into the major trendline. The red lines define the average daily range for today.Upcoming CatalystsToday we conclude the week with the US PMIs.This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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Best Brokers in Thailand in 2024
by Finance Magnates Staff (Retail FX – Finance Magnates | Financial and business news) on November 22, 2024 at 10:08 am
Retail trading has proliferated in popularity across Thailand in 2024 as many new and established investors look to diversify their portfolios. Asset classes such as Forex, commodities, CFDs, and others have long been attractive choices, given the propensity for volatility and the potential to capitalize on global currency market opportunities. With so many options to choose from however, selecting the right broker in Thailand requires some investigation and introspection. Retail Trading in ThailandThai traders are always looking for the best and most diverse offerings. Like any other retail investors, they often prioritize customer service, trading experience, and leverage. Starting one’s trading journey in Thailand should begin by seeking out only regulated brokers. Of note, all brokers’ daily operations are overseen by the local authority, the country’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and by the Bank of Thailand. All traders need to provide KYC data (Know your customer), usually in the form of your national ID or driving license, as brokers need to comply with AML requirements and other regulations.Brokers vary with the types of services on offer as well as several other differentiating attributes. Most commonly, this entails the amount of leverage on offer for Thai brokers. Typically, retail investors will find access to leverage across a wide spectrum. While not mandatory, many traders often seek out brokers with the highest leverage available in order to maximize their trading portfolio, despite the risks inherent.All major brokers in Thailand accept normal forms of payment. Following a basic account creation and verification, funding one’s account is straightforward. Leading brokers in the country all accept bank transfers, e-wallet, debit, or credit card, UnionPay, VISA, and Mastercard, etc. How to Choose the Top Brokers in ThailandThe domestic Thai market has some clear leaders in terms of quality brokers with services on offer for investors. While all investors have their own preferences and priorities, traders should be cognizant of some basic elements and indicators that the top brokers in the country have. This includes the following parameters that were considered:Regulation and jurisdictionAssets or markets on offerMobile trading capabilitiesHow easy it is to deposit and withdraw fundsQuality of customer serviceEducational content or resourcesTrading tools or platformsRange of available trading instrumentsBest Forex Brokers in Thailand1. Kama Capital Kama Capital distinguishes itself as one of the best brokers in Thailand for its large amount of assets on offer that help meet the needs of modern traders. The brokerage has made a name for itself via its innovative technology, robust support, and extensive educational resources. Kama Capital is the top-rated option in Thailand for investors who can take advantage of the broker’s regional market expertise and compliance framework. This is instrumental in providing both local and international traders with a transparent, versatile, and efficient trading environment.Kama Capital offers trading in multiple asset classes with competitive trading conditions, including leverage up to 1:400 and spreads starting from 0.5 pips. Traders can take advantage of MetaTrader 5 (MT5), the most advanced platform on the market. The broker offers a wide range of products as well, including currencies, major indices, spot CFDs, futures, oil, energy, metals, and commodities.With no minimum deposit, traders can utilize three different account options. Kama Capital is focused on innovation, teamwork, trust, and transparency in all transactions. Through its user-friendly website and mobile applications, the broker provides integrated financial institution services and currency trading options.Kama Capital FeaturesRegulation: FSA, SVGFSA, SCALeverage: 1:400Minimum spreads: 0.5 pipsMinimum deposit: $0Trading platforms on offer: MT5Benefits: Research and educational portal, free signals 2. FBSFBS provides plenty of localized support within Thailand, complete with educational resources for seminars and tutorials, as well as Thai-language customer support. This is backed by a sizable range of trading conditions catering to traders with varying levels of experience. Spreads start from 0.7 pips and offer a cost-effective option for Thai traders looking to invest with competitive pricing. The broker is known for its high leverage offering, which can go up to 1:3000. This helps traders to manage larger positions relative to their initial capital, though it also increases the potential for both gains and losses.FBS also offers a lot size range – this starts from 0.01 lots and goes up to 500 lots, enabling lower-risk trading and higher-volume strategies. Consequently, these conditions allow FBS to provide a variety of options that support different trading styles and approaches.FBS FeaturesRegulation: FSC, ASIC, CySECLeverage: 1:3000Minimum spreads: 0.7 pipsMinimum deposit: $5Trading platforms on offer: MT4, MT5, FBS AppBenefits: FBS Academy, strong Thai support with local seminars, tutorials, Thai-language customer service, high leverage.3. ExnessExness is another excellent option for Thai traders, with the online multi-asset brokerage being fully regulated by several different financial authorities, including CySEC, the FCA in the UK, and the FSA in Seychelles. The company offers access to a sizable range of tradable CFD instruments, including stocks and indices to cryptocurrencies, currency pairs, metals, and energy. Traders can use either the MT4 or MT5 for both desktop and mobile devices.Thai clients also have access to 24/7 customer support in multiple languages to ensure traders receive optimal trading conditions and a smooth trading experience. Exness has recently won several awards, making it one of the most popular brokers in the world. With tight spreads and no hidden charges, Exness is also a transparent option for investors in Thailand. Accounts can be opened with ease and funded with bank wire transfers, major credit cards, and E-systems such as Neteller and Skrill.Exness FeaturesRegulation: ASIC, IFSC, CySECLeverage: 1:unlimited (if eligible)Minimum spreads: 0.3 pipsMinimum deposit: $10Trading platforms on offer: MT4, MT5Benefits: High leverage and low spreads with strong international presence4. XMXM scores highly in terms of forex brokers operating in Thailand, having built an impressive track record for itself since its founding in 2009. Since then, it has worked on equipping traders of all skill levels with quality services, especially among Thai Forex traders.Novice traders starting their journey in Thailand can explore a solid database of educational materials, strong customer support, and interactive live trading rooms on a daily basis.The broker has access to both MT4 and MT5, with over 1,000 instruments, including Forex pairs, stocks, commodities, and indices. XM offers leverage for 1:888 and their spreads are as low as 0.1pips with regulation at CySEC, ASIC, and IFSC. A minimum deposit of $5 is required along with minimum trade of 0.01 for micro lots.XM FeaturesRegulation: ASIC, IFSC, CySECLeverage: 1:888Minimum spreads: 0.1 pipsMinimum deposit: $5Trading platforms on offer: MT4, MT5Benefits:Fast withdrawals, strong customer support5. ATFXATFX has developed into a solid option for online Forex and CFD trading in Thailand, having been established in 2014. The brokerage plenty of trading instruments, including Forex, commodities, indices, and cryptocurrencies, serving both retail and professional traders in Thailand and the broader Asia-Pacific (APAC) region.ATFX has on offer four main types of accounts: Standard, Edge, Premium, and Professional. These cater to various trading styles and experience levels. One of the most enticing reasons to trade with ATFX is its rock-solid regulation among top-tier authorities such as the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC).The broker has worked to maintain a high level of security and transparency with client funds that are segregated in established banks. Its platform employs SSL encryption and two-factor authentication for enhanced security, supporting MT4. ATFX has over 43 forex pairs, precious metals like gold and silver, crude oil, indices, and share CFDs, ATFX provides a broad range of trading instruments and is a cost-effective option for traders.ATFX Features:• Regulation: FCA, CySEC, FSC, FSA• Leverage: 1:400 for retail clients• Minimum spreads: 0.0 pips on ATFX Edge account• Minimum deposit: $100• Trading platforms on offer: MT4, MT5, ATFX Trader• Benefits: Customer Support: Versatile customer support, tutorials and webinars for usersWrap-UpRetail trading in Thailand continues to expand heading into 2025, with a surge of interest coming from recent volatility and increased investor appetite. The aforementioned leading brokers in the country represent the top choices for investors looking to trade in 2024, both in terms of competitive trading conditions and localized support. As always however, before trading it is important to ensure that any broker you engage with complies with Thai regulations and aligns with one’s personal trading needs.FAQIs Forex trading legal in Thailand?Forex trading is legal in Thailand provided it is conducted through licensed brokers. This includes entities that are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Thailand or other recognized authorities. However, trading with unlicensed or offshore brokers can carry legal and financial risks.What do I need to start trading Forex or other instruments with brokers in Thailand?As is the case in most jurisdictions, prospective traders need to verify their identity. This means that individuals need a trading account with a licensed broker. To open this, proof of identify (passport or national ID) and a funding source such as a Thai bank account or e-wallet are needed. While not mandatory, it is recommended to have basic knowledge of the Forex market and popular trading platforms like MetaTrader 4/5 or cTrader.Is there a best time to trade Forex in Thailand?Liquidity is above average throughout some periods, indicating that Thai traders can find lower trading costs due to the tighter spreads. In particular, the following periods are recommended (in local times):From 2 am to 5 am: overlaps with the last 2 hours in NYC’s trading session and Sydney’s first hour of tradingFrom 7 am to 8 am: overlaps with the first hour of Tokyo’s trading sessionFrom noon to 1 pm: overlaps with the last hour in Sydney’s trading sessionFrom 2 pm to 4 pm: manages to overlap with the first two hours in London and the last one in Tokyo’s trading sessions7 pm to 11 pm: overlaps with the first two hours of trading in NYC and the last two in London.What are the risks associated with Forex trading in Thailand?Forex trading can be highly speculative and carries significant risks, including market risks or currency price volatility that can lead to large losses. Additionally, this type of trading carries leverage risk, so understanding how this works can help prevent large losses. Regulation is also a key area since trading with unlicensed brokers may result in fraud or a lack of legal recourse.This article was written by Finance Magnates Staff at www.financemagnates.com.
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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Hits 6-Month Low as UK Sales Slump
by Saqib Iqbal (Forex Crunch) on November 22, 2024 at 10:03 am
UK retail sales fell by 0.7% in October, compared to estimates of a 0.3% drop. The UK economy only expanded by 0.1% in the third quarter. US initial jobless claims unexpectedly fell last week from 219,000 to 213,000. The GBP/USD price analysis shows weaker consumer spending in the UK, which has pushed the pound to... The post GBP/USD Price Analysis: Hits 6-Month Low as UK Sales Slump appeared first on Forex Crunch.
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Capitalize Announcing Prop Trading with One-Step Evaluation Program for Aspiring Traders
by FL Contributors (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 9:46 am
Capitalize, one of the leading proprietary trading firms, has announced their "One-Step Evaluation" program that allows easier access to trading opportunities than ever before. As part of this user-friendly process, traders can showcase their talent and get funding in just one single-stage evaluation, unlike their competitors’ lengthy and multilevel examination processes.By lowering or removing many of the traditional barriers to funding, Capitalize can let traders focus on honing their trading strategy, knowing that their route to full funding will be as smooth as possible. The simplified funding process applies to traders of all instruments including forex, equities, and other digital assets, allowing them instant access to capital without undue holdups. Candidate traders therefore can become funded professionals more quickly and more effortlessly than before.Customer SupportProp Capitalize is also committed to the best customer support, which they consider an essential pillar in the trading experience. Traders can be assured that a supportive team is available to answer any questions about technical issues, account inquiries, and even to walk them through the platform to ensure they have whatever they may need to trade optimally. Prop Trading with CapitalizeProprietary trading has gained favor where traders seek to deploy professional capital without financial exposure on their part. An option against retail trading, Capitalize will not require a trader to risk their money. Instead, it believes in talent and potential. Some of the main tenets of Capitalize's model are:Risk Mitigation: Traders use firm capital instead of personal funds. The firm covers the losses.Earning Potential: Competitive potential profit-sharing arrangements set a potential earnings for the trader.Competitive Conditions: Getting access to cutting-edge trading conditions to support the best performance.No Hidden Costs: Accessing trading capital directly and with no additional costs or hidden fees.One-Step Evaluation: Fast-track to funded trading and simplify results-focused assessment.These advantages make Capitalize a possible choice for traders who are in search of professional support and growth potential in financial markets.Capitalize, powered by ThinkMarkets, presents new and seasoned traders with superior infrastructure and global outreach. Its attentive attitude toward customers and transparent, trader-oriented conditions make it one of the leading choices in the prop trading world.About CapitalizeCapitalize (https://prop-capitalize.com) is a ThinkMarkets-powered prop trading company focusing on supportive programs and capital funding to help traders succeed. It is very accessible, with engaged and skilled customer support, thereby opening up the trading world to skilled funded traders.Capitalize is an innovative yet simple funding mechanism for intrepid traders looking to access the world of finance. Capitalize offers a remarkably fast and straightforward funding solution, eliminating the usual complexities and delays. Designed for smart traders, it provides a seamless and efficient way to access financial markets, allowing users to focus on trading without unnecessary hurdles. Its simplicity and speed make it a possible choice for those who value time and efficiency in pursuing their trading goals.This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.
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UK PMI composite fall to 49.9, slips into contraction as post-budget sentiment worsens
by ActionForex.com (Action Forex) on November 22, 2024 at 9:44 am
UK economic activity weakened in November, with the Composite PMI falling from 51.8 to 49.9, its first contraction in 13 months. Manufacturing PMI declined to a 9-month low of 48.6, down from 49.9, while Services PMI hit a 13-month low at 50.0, down from 52.0. Chris Williamson of S&P Global Market Intelligence noted that businesses The post UK PMI composite fall to 49.9, slips into contraction as post-budget sentiment worsens appeared first on Action Forex.
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Stocks stumble in European morning trade
by Justin Low (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 9:36 am
Equities have now taken a turn lower on the session with European indices seeing red for the most part now. The DAX is now down 0.5% and CAC 40 down 0.8% after the more positive start to the day here. Meanwhile, US futures have also dipped lower with S&P 500 futures down 0.4% on the day.Besides the softer PMI data from the euro area and UK, there's not much else to drive the latest changes in equities. And even with traders now saying that the ECB might very well have to move quicker in December, it's not providing much comfort for European stocks.The drop lower isn't just limited to tech shares as well. Dow futures are also now down by 0.3% on the day.And the more cautious developments here are just adding to the case for EUR/CHF to potentially break to fresh record lows, with the pair already down 0.4% to 0.9250 currently. The low right after the PMI data earlier was 0.9203This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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UK November flash services PMI 50.0 vs 52.0 expected
by Giuseppe Dellamotta (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 9:30 am
Services PMI 50.0 vs 52.0 expected and 52.0 prior.Manufacturing PMI 48.6 vs 50.0 expected and 49.9 prior.Composite PMI 49.9 vs 51.8 expected and 51.8 prior.Key Findings:Flash UK PMI Composite Output Index(1) : 49.9 (Oct: 51.8). 13-month low. Flash UK Services PMI Business Activity Index (2) : 50.0 (Oct: 52.0). 13-month low. Flash UK Manufacturing Output Index (3) : 49.3 (Oct: 50.3). 9-month low. Flash UK Manufacturing PMI (4) : 48.6 (Oct: 49.9). 9-month low.Comment:Commenting on the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence said: “The first survey on the health of the economy after the Budget makes for gloomy reading. Businesses have reported falling output for the first time in just over a year while employment has now been cut for two consecutive months. Although only marginal, the downturns in output and hiring represent marked contrasts to the robust growth rates seen back in the summer and are accompanied by deepening concern about prospects for the year ahead. Business optimism has slumped sharply since the General Election, dropping further in November to hit the lowest since late 2022. Companies are giving a clear 'thumbs down' to the policies announced in the Budget, especially the planned increase in employers' National Insurance contributions. The November PMI is indicative of the economy slipping into a modest decline, with GDP dropping at a 0.1% quarterly rate, but the loss of confidence hints at worse to come – including further job losses –unless sentiment revives. Encouragingly, inflation pressures have moderated further, with selling prices rising at the slowest rate seen this side of the pandemic. However, still-elevated rates of wage-related price and cost growth are being recorded in the service sector, potentially limiting scope for rate cuts among the more hawkish policymakers.”This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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USD/JPY Outlook: Rising Bets for Rate Hike Boost Yen
by Saqib Iqbal (Forex Crunch) on November 22, 2024 at 9:28 am
Japan’s core consumer inflation increased by 2.3% in October. 56% of economists expect the Bank of Japan to hike rates in December. US jobless claims unexpectedly fell to 213,000. The USD/JPY outlook shows a stronger yen amid increasing bets for a December rate hike by the Bank of Japan. However, the pair fluctuated on Friday... The post USD/JPY Outlook: Rising Bets for Rate Hike Boost Yen appeared first on Forex Crunch.
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British retail sales decline, pound extends losses
by Kenny Fisher (MarketPulse) on November 22, 2024 at 9:22 am
The British pound is lower for a straight third trading day on Friday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2543, down 0.36% on the day. UK retail sales weaker than expected UK retail sales disappointed in October, with a sharp decline of 0.7% m/m. This follows a downwardly revised 0.1% gain in
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Zircuit Launches ZRC Token: Pioneering the Next Era of Decentralized Finance
by FL Contributors (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 9:19 am
Zircuit, the chain where innovation meets security, today announced its ZRC Token Launch on Monday, November 25th—a key step in building a thriving, decentralized ecosystem. ZRC serves as the foundation of Zircuit’s architecture, enabling participants to receive additional rewards, participate in network app fair launches, and drive its growth. As the ecosystem’s cornerstone, ZRC aligns incentives across developers and users, fostering active collaboration and innovation.The ZRC launch follows a series of notable achievements for Zircuit, including the successful rollout of Mainnet, a $2 billion TVL ecosystem, the groundbreaking EIGEN fairdrop with over 190,000 participants, the liquidity hub launch, and strategic investment from Binance Labs, Pantera, and other strategic partners. Together, these milestones underscore Zircuit’s position as a leader in decentralized finance and staking.“The ZRC token is more than a milestone; it’s a gateway to the decentralized future we’ve been building at Zircuit,” said Martin Derka, co-founder of Zircuit. “By aligning incentives across our ecosystem, ZRC empowers developers and users to shape the network collaboratively.”Designed with transparency and accessibility in mind, the ZRC Token Launch ensures participants can seamlessly engage with staking partners through Seasons 1-3 of Zircuit’s ecosystem. This includes staking through the Liquidity Hub, offering the potential to earn rewards.Zircuit protects users from hacks through its built-in, automated AI techniques that guard users against smart contract exploits and malicious actors. This system automatically guards against smart contract exploits and malicious actors, making Zircuit one of the safest blockchain platforms available. As the safest chain for DeFi and staking, Zircuit is the premier liquidity hub for various assets, including ETH, BTC, LSTs, and LRTs, while providing robust security guarantees. Zircuit’s strong infrastructure allows users to earn competitive yields natively, combining safety with attractive returns.Users can explore the ZRC token’s role in Zircuit’s ecosystem by engaging with staking and reward opportunities through the Liquidity Hub.About ZircuitZircuit: (https://www.zircuit.com/) Where innovation meets security, designed for everyone. Zircuit offers developers powerful features while giving users peace of mind. Designed by a team of web3 security veterans and PhDs, Zircuit combines high performance with unmatched security. Experience the safest chain for DeFi and staking.This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.
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Euro slumps to near two-year low as PMI data disappoints
by Justin Low (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 9:10 am
The euro is sliding in European morning trade as poor PMI data from France and Germany is weighing on the mood in the single currency. The ECB has already highlighted their shift in focus towards the economy and the data today vindicates that. And if anything, it might just add to the case for them to move quicker than needed.EUR/USD has now fallen to its lowest since December 2022, breaking the October 2023 low of 1.0448. As mentioned here, there is now an increased risk of the pair falling even more rapidly as the weekly break under 1.0500 looks to be reaffirmed.The chart shows little to no support on the way down and that's a tough technical situation to be in for euro buyers. With the outlook also increasingly more challenging amid Trump tariffs next year, it looks like there will be more pain to come before things settle down.And it's not just EUR/USD that is one to watch out for, EUR/CHF is also on the verge of cracking to fresh record lows now:This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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Eurozone November flash services PMI 49.2 vs 51.6 expected
by Justin Low (Forexlive RSS Breaking News Feed) on November 22, 2024 at 9:00 am
Prior 51.6Manufacturing PMI 45.2 vs 46.0 expectedPrior 46.0Composite PMI 48.1 vs 50.0 expectedPrior 50.0The stark drop here is largely attributed to the decline in the services sector, in which activity fell to a 10-month low. However, manufacturing conditions also struggled with the contraction deepening amid a further decline in production on the month. As a whole, it's pretty much a case of France and Germany being the main drags while the periphery nations are faring much better. That being said, it is after all France and Germany - two of the biggest slices of the cake in the Eurozone. HCOB notes that:“Things could hardly have turned out much worse. The eurozone's manufacturing sector is sinking deeper into recession, and now the services sector is starting to struggle after two months of marginal growth. It is no surprise really, given the political mess in the biggest eurozone economies lately – France's government is on shaky ground, and Germany's heading for early elections. Throw in the election of Donald Trump as US president, and it is no wonder the economy is facing challenges. Businesses are just navigating by sight. “The services sector took an unexpected dive, with activity dropping for the first time since January. We thought that lower inflation and higher wages would boost consumption and demand for services, but that hope has been dashed. It doesn't look like a recovery is coming anytime soon since both new orders and order backlogs have fallen even faster than in October. “The environment in November is stagflationary. On one hand, activity is declining across the board, while on the other, input and output prices are rising more quickly. This surge is driven by services costs, which ties in with the sharp rise in wages in the eurozone in the third quarter. Service sector selling price inflation is a major headache for the ECB. Given this backdrop, some ECB members might even argue for a rate pause in December, but most will probably stick with a 25-basis point rate cut. “In November, manufacturing purchase prices didn't drop as much as the previous month. If the euro keeps weakening, purchase prices might even rise in the coming months, especially if the EU Commission imposes counter-tariffs in response to potential US tariff hikes.”This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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CMC Markets Wrote Off £2.8M Investment in Blockchain Firm Strike X
by Arnab Shome (Retail FX – Finance Magnates | Financial and business news) on November 22, 2024 at 8:27 am
CMC Markets (LON: CMCX), known for its CFD offerings, has written off its £2.8 million investment in Strike X, a customer-centric blockchain solutions business it acquired in June 2023.CMC’s Failed Entry into BlockchainThe London-headquartered CFDs broker holds a 33% stake in Strike X Technologies, which, at the time of the investment, marked its entrance into the blockchain space. However, the broker has now concluded that the investment amount is not recoverable, writing off the full carrying value.The broker also noted that Strike X is actively seeking third-party capital through one of its subsidiaries to improve its financial position. It added: “Despite the impairment, the Group continues to support Strike X and its strategic objectives.”"At CMC Markets, we are proud to partner with StrikeX, a dynamic and innovative leader in blockchain technology. We believe strongly in their vision and the transformative potential of their solutions, including advancements in self-custody, tokenisation, and blockchain infrastructure through StrikeX Labs," CMC wrote in a statement published today (Friday), adding that "The write-off of our initial investment is purely an accounting decision and does not reflect our belief in StrikeX's technology or potential, nor does it indicate any change in our partnership.""On the contrary, we continue to integrate StrikeX's services into our offerings and see our relationship deepening further as we collaborate on Web 3.0 developments. The team at StrikeX has made tremendous strides in this fast-paced industry, and we remain excited to grow alongside them, supporting their mission to reshape the future of finance."B2B Revenue from Revolut Is “Not Significant”CMC Markets further confirmed it has begun onboarding clients through its partnership with Revolut, which was established last June. Revolut’s CFD clients are being onboarded onto its new platform, Revolut Invest, which has been launched in three European countries: the Czech Republic, Denmark, and Greece.However, the brokerage also highlighted that the impact of the Revolut deal on its B2B revenue is “not significant” due to limited geographical coverage. Nonetheless, the British fintech firm plans to expand its CFD offerings across the European Union and has obtained a new UK licence to offer financial derivatives.“This partnership presents an exciting opportunity for future revenue growth,” added CMC, “as well as increased operational leverage given the limited incremental costs required to service these customers.”Finance Magnates earlier discussed with two CMC executives how the Revolut deal materialised.According to its latest financials, CMC Markets generated £177.4 million in revenue between April and September, representing a yearly gain of 45% but a decline of 15.6% compared to the previous six months.Despite CMC’s dominance in the retail space, it is now significantly strengthening its B2B presence. In the first six months of the current fiscal year, B2B services contributed 28% of its trading volume, compared to 31% and 35% in the two halves of the previous fiscal year.This article was written by Arnab Shome at www.financemagnates.com.