[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"$f1r4wvlc76gl5m":3,"$f3g2vfgazl5es6":41,"$f2a8kiz9fsz2a":93,"$f1haha5ahsyuls":157,"$f5btqexddoxme":202,"$f9gu6o9jcsxdi":224},{"status_code":4,"message":5,"data":6},200,"List of Posts retrieve successfully",{"id":7,"createdAt":8,"updatedAt":9,"title":10,"excerpt":11,"content":12,"slug":13,"topic":14,"tags":20,"image":30,"author":30,"feed":31,"views":37,"type":38,"readTime":39,"externalSourceUrl":40},"86954e2a-ac81-4eb8-a69d-de8f12203fd7","2026-10-09T10:00:01.542Z","2026-10-09T11:49:51.000Z","Barrow, Darboe and Bensouda: the paths to victory in The Gambia’s 2026 presidential election","By Dr Ebrima Ceesay The Gambia’s 2026 presidential election is shaping up as a fundamentally different contest from the election of 2021. Five years ago, Adama Barrow won decisively, receiving 457,519 votes, or 53.23 per cent.  Ousainu Darboe finished second with 238,253 votes, or 27.72 per cent, while Mamma Kandeh received 105,902 votes, or 12.32 […]","\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>By Dr Ebrima Ceesay\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Gambia’s 2026 presidential election is shaping up as a fundamentally different contest from the election of 2021. Five years ago, Adama Barrow won decisively, receiving 457,519 votes, or 53.23 per cent.  Ousainu Darboe finished second with 238,253 votes, or 27.72 per cent, while Mamma Kandeh received 105,902 votes, or 12.32 per cent.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The political landscape has since changed. Barrow is seeking another mandate with a broader governing coalition around him.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ousainu Darboe remains the most established opposition challenger.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Talib Bensouda has emerged as another significant opposition figure, with a particularly important base in the urban area of Kanifing.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The result is a three-way equation. And because The Gambia elects its president by plurality rather than requiring 50 per cent of the vote, that three-way split could be decisive.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Gambia’s 1997 Constitution provides that a candidate must receive the highest number of valid votes to win on the first ballot.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A second ballot is required only if candidates are tied for the highest number of votes. That single rule explains much of the mathematics of the 2026 contest.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A candidate can win the presidency without receiving 50 per cent.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Suppose the result is: Barrow 42 per cent; Darboe 35 per cent; and Bensouda 20 per cent. Barrow wins.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Suppose instead: Barrow 40 per cent; Darboe 37 per cent; and Bensouda 21 per cent. Barrow still wins.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But if the opposition becomes consolidated: Darboe 42 per cent; Barrow 39 per cent; and Bensouda 16 per cent. Darboe wins.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This means that the central question of the 2026 presidential election is not simply whether Adama Barrow’s popularity has fallen since the 2021 presidential election. It is whether his support falls below the combined strength of one opposition challenger.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Adama Barrow’s starting position\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>Incumbent President Adama Barrow begins from a very strong electoral baseline. In the December 2021 presidential election, Barrow won more than half the national vote. He was exceptionally strong in the Upper River and parts of Central River. His political position has also changed since 2021 because of new alliances.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Gambia Democratic Congress (GDC), led by Mamma Kandeh, is now part of the NPP-led governing coalition. That makes the 2021 GDC vote an important component of the 2026 calculation.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It would be simplistic, however, to assume that every Kandeh voter automatically becomes a Barrow voter. Political alliances transfer organisational networks more easily than they transfer individual voters.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The question is therefore how much of Kandeh’s previous support the governing coalition can actually mobilise for Barrow.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Adama Barrow’s strongest asset: the eastern vote\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>Incumbent President Adama Barrow’s greatest strategic advantage is geographical. In 2021 he obtained huge margins in the Upper River Region. He received roughly 84 per cent in Basse; 80.5 per cent in Kantora; 76.4 per cent in Tumana; 72 per cent in Wuli East; and 71.8 per cent in Wuli West.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If those margins remain broadly intact, Barrow begins every national calculation with a substantial bloc of votes that the opposition will find extremely difficult to dislodge. This means Barrow does not have to win every battleground.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Adama Barrow could lose several constituencies in the Lower River Region or the West Coast Region and still secure enough support nationally to win.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">His greater vulnerability would be a broader decline in support across the western areas, particularly the West Coast Region and Kanifing, rather than an opposition breakthrough confined to a small number of constituencies.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In short, Barrow could afford to lose selected constituencies in the Lower River Region or West Coast Region without necessarily losing nationally, because losses in a limited number of constituencies would not, on their own, fundamentally alter the wider electoral balance.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The more significant risk would be a broad erosion of support across the western electoral belt, particularly in the West Coast Region and Kanifing.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A concentrated opposition breakthrough in a few constituencies would be one thing; a sustained decline in support across these larger and more electorally significant areas would represent a much wider shift in the national balance.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In other words, Adama Barrow’s key vulnerability is not simply losing individual constituencies, but losing substantial support across the western heartland (West Coast Region and Kanifing) of the electorate.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Adama Barrow’s winning formula\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>A plausible Barrow victory could look something like this: maintain overwhelming support in Upper River; maintain a strong advantage in Central River; remain above roughly 40 per cent in major West Coast areas; remain competitive in Kanifing; avoid catastrophic losses in Lower River and North Bank; and allow Darboe and Bensouda to divide the opposition vote.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Under such circumstances, Barrow could conceivably win with a national vote share in the low or mid-40s. For example, Barrow: 45-48 per cent; Darboe: 30-33 per cent; and Bensouda: 16-19 per cent would constitute a relatively comfortable Adama Barrow victory. This is a scenario, not a forecast.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>The incumbent Adama Barrow’s vulnerability\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>There are, however, several reasons why the 2026 presidential election contest could be considerably tighter.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The August 2026 Gambia Participates poll found Adama Barrow on 32 per cent, Ousainu Darboe on 25 per cent and Talib Ahmed Bensouda on 19 per cent, with 17 per cent undecided. The poll also found that 51 per cent of respondents regarded Barrow as the candidate with the best chance of winning.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Those figures should not be treated as a prediction of the December 2026 presidential election result. Opinion polls measure sentiment at a particular moment. They do not automatically reproduce turnout, late campaign movements, tactical voting or constituency-level results.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the August 2026 poll does demonstrate something important: President Barrow’s 2021 53 per cent is not a safe assumption for 2026. The incumbent president (Barrow) has to rebuild a coalition capable of producing a plurality.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For the benefit of the reader unfamiliar with some of these terms, in elections, a plurality occurs when a candidate or party receives more votes than any other individual alternative, but does not necessarily achieve an absolute majority (over 50% of the total votes cast).\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Essentially, under a plurality rule, as we have in the Gambia, the rule is simply “whoever gets the most votes wins”. On the other hand, in a majority rule election, a majority vote strictly means that a candidate or a political party must receive more than 50% of the total votes cast (50% plus one) to win.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recent public frustration in the Gambia over electricity supply is one example of a possible campaign vulnerability. Protests over prolonged power cuts in September 2026 brought visible criticism of the government, while Talib Bensouda publicly connected the anger to broader youth frustrations over economic opportunity and migration.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That does not necessarily translate into votes against President Barrow, but it shows that the incumbent enters the campaign with issues that his opponents can exploit.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>UDP leader Ousainu Darboe’s challenge\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>Ousainu Darboe starts from a different position. His 2021 vote was only 27.72 per cent nationally, but that national number hides considerable geographical strength. Darboe was highly competitive in the Lower River Region and won some individual constituencies.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In Mansa Konko, for example, Ousainu Darboe was virtually tied with Barrow. He won Kiang West and was ahead in Kiang East. He was also strong in parts of the North Bank and the urban areas.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From my perspective, Ousainu Darboe’s problem is that he needs to convert this geographical competitiveness into a national coalition.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Ousainu Darboe’s winning formula\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>A realistic Darboe victory requires several things to happen simultaneously. First, he needs to win or substantially improve in Mansa Konko and the Lower River Region.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Second, he needs to become much more competitive in Kerewan\u002FNorth Bank Region. Third, he needs a significant breakthrough in Kanifing. Fourth, Ousainu Darboe needs to win or nearly win several large West Coast constituencies.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Finally, and perhaps most importantly, he needs to prevent Bensouda from taking too much of the urban opposition vote. This last point is critical.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ousainu Darboe does not necessarily need Talib Bensouda to disappear. He needs Talib Bensouda’s vote to remain small enough, or sufficiently complementary, that Darboe can finish ahead of Barrow.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Which begs the question: Why does Brikama matter to Ousainu Darboe?\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The West Coast Region contains a huge pool of voters. Several constituencies were already competitive in 2021. Brikama North actually gave Darboe approximately 43.9 per cent against Barrow’s 39.1 per cent.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Busumbala was almost tied, with Barrow around 41.4 per cent and Darboe around 39.6 per cent. Sanementereng gave Barrow about 44.9 per cent and Darboe about 38.2 per cent.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These are exactly the types of constituencies where a five-point or seven-point swing can change the national race. If Ousainu Darboe can convert several such constituencies from Barrow victories into Darboe victories, the national arithmetic changes rapidly.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Kanifing may be even more important\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>Kanifing is potentially the single most politically important urban area. Barrow won the area in 2021, but his margin was not uniform.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In 2021, Bakau actually voted for Darboe. The emergence of Talib Bensouda makes the area even more complicated because Bensouda’s political identity is closely associated with Kanifing.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For Darboe, the ideal scenario is to become the clear anti-Barrow candidate in Kanifing. For Barrow, the ideal scenario is for Darboe and Bensouda to divide the opposition vote. For Bensouda, the objective is to establish himself as the strongest alternative to the established political order. That makes Kanifing a three-way strategic contest.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Talib Bensouda’s dilemma\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>Talib Bensouda is the most difficult candidate to model. If he receives 15 per cent nationally, he may not be close to winning. But 15 per cent can still determine the winner.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If most of Talib Bensouda’s voters would otherwise have supported Darboe, Talib Bensouda could unintentionally help Barrow retain the presidency. But if Bensouda attracts voters who would otherwise have stayed home, or attracts people who would never have voted for Darboe, his (Bensouda’s) effect could be different.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Talib Bensouda could expand the opposition electorate rather than simply split it. That distinction, as far as I am concerned, is impossible to resolve from the available evidence.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>The Talib Bensouda scenario\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>Suppose Talib Bensouda performs particularly strongly in Kanifing and Brikama. A result such as Barrow 40 per cent; Darboe 35 per cent; Bensouda 22 per cent would produce a Barrow victory despite the opposition candidates collectively receiving 57 per cent. That is the central paradox of the upcoming presidential election.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The combined opposition vote can exceed Adama Barrow’s vote by a considerable margin while Barrow still wins. But if Talib Bensouda’s voters strategically move toward Darboe, the result could become Darboe 42 per cent; Barrow 39 per cent; Bensouda 16 per cent and Darboe would win.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Opposition unity is therefore more important than almost anything else. The strategic question is not necessarily whether Darboe and Bensouda formally merge their organisations. They could cooperate electorally without creating a single political party. They could also remain separate while encouraging tactical voting in particular constituencies.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Or they could remain completely separate and compete for the same voters. Each arrangement produces a different mathematical result. If the opposition remains divided, Barrow has a significant structural advantage.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If Darboe becomes the clear anti-Barrow presidential candidate, the contest becomes much closer. If Bensouda overtakes Darboe as the principal urban opposition candidate, the entire model changes again.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Three possible national scenarios\u003Cbr>Scenario One:\u003C\u002Fstrong> Barrow consolidates the governing coalition. Under a favourable scenario for the incumbent: Barrow: 45-48 per cent; Darboe: 30-33 per cent; and Bensouda: 16-19 per cent.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Adama Barrow wins without needing to reproduce his 2021 53.23 per cent. The essential ingredients are strong eastern margins, sufficient West Coast support and a divided opposition.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Scenario Two:\u003C\u002Fstrong> the race becomes genuinely competitive. A more difficult scenario for Barrow might produce: Barrow: 40-43 per cent; Darboe: 35-38 per cent; and Bensouda: 19-22 per cent.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Barrow could still win because Darboe and Bensouda remain divided. This is the scenario in which the incumbent is vulnerable but still has the advantage of the plurality system.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Scenario Three:\u003C\u002Fstrong> Darboe consolidates the opposition. A Darboe breakthrough could look like: Darboe: 40-44 per cent; Barrow: 37-40 per cent; and Bensouda: 15-19 per cent. Darboe wins.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But achieving that outcome requires much more than general dissatisfaction with the government. It requires a specific geographical coalition.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Ousainu Darboe’s “magic number”\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>Darboe does not need to win Basse. He does not need to win every Central River constituency. He does not even need to dominate the entire country. Darboe’s path is more specific.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Darboe needs something close to: Upper River Region: accept a substantial Barrow defeat; Central River: reduce Adama Barrow’s margins; North Bank Region: win or become highly competitive; Lower River Region: win clearly; Brikama: win narrowly or remain very close; Kanifing: win or nearly win; Banjul: become competitive.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If that happens while Talib Bensouda’s vote remains contained, Darboe can potentially reach the high 30s or low 40s nationally.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>Adama Barrow’s “magic number”\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>From my perspective, Adama Barrow’s path is simpler. He needs to preserve the eastern fortress. He needs to remain strong in Central River. He needs to keep Brikama above roughly 40 per cent. He needs to remain competitive in Kanifing.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And, most importantly, Barrow needs Darboe and Bensouda to remain separate enough that neither can consolidate the anti-Barrow vote. If those conditions hold, Barrow can lose several battlegrounds and still win the presidential election.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The role of the final voter register is equally important. The final register is another major variable.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The IEC recorded 212,095 supplementary registrations in 2026. It later removed 14,334 duplicate 2026 registrations while retaining the affected voters’ names in the 2021 register. A further 1,694 objections were submitted to Revising Courts.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This means the final electorate cannot responsibly be calculated by simply adding 212,095 to the 2021 register. The final figure will emerge after the Revising Court process and final administrative reconciliation.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More important than the national number will be the constituency-by-constituency distribution. If the biggest net increases occur in Brikama and Kanifing, the urban vote becomes even more important.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If growth is concentrated in Adama Barrow’s eastern strongholds, his existing geographical advantage becomes more valuable. This is why the final register is an electoral variable rather than merely an administrative statistic.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Turnout is the other unknown. The 2021 turnout was about 89.3 per cent. If the final 2026 electorate is around 1.16 million as I projected in my previous articles for modelling purposes, an 85 per cent turnout would produce about 986,000 votes.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At 80 per cent turnout, it would be about 928,000 votes. At 75 per cent turnout, about 870,000 votes. The absolute number matters, but the geographical composition of turnout matters even more.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A high turnout in Kanifing and Brikama can have a very different national effect from an equally high turnout in a smaller eastern constituency. Youth turnout is particularly worth watching because the IEC has reported a substantial number of younger people among the new registrants.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Which begs the question: What does the current evidence say? The available evidence does not justify declaring a winner before the campaign. The 2021 presidential election results give Adama Barrow the strongest starting position. The current political alliances also provide Adama Barrow with a broader governing coalition than the one with which he entered the 2021 presidential election.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The current polling, however, suggests that Barrow’s 2021 support should not simply be assumed to remain intact. The Gambia Participates’ August 2026 survey put Adama Barrow at 32 per cent, Darboe at 25 per cent and Bensouda at 19 per cent, with 17 per cent undecided.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The August 2026 poll also found that more respondents thought Adama Barrow had the best chance of winning than selected him as their intended candidate, illustrating the difference between electoral preference and perceived electability.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The governing party also faces issues that the opposition can use against it, including public dissatisfaction over electricity supply and wider concerns about economic opportunity and youth migration. Recent power-related protests demonstrated that these issues have moved beyond routine political criticism. None of this guarantees an opposition victory.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>The three decisive variables\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>By the time Gambians vote on 5 December 2026, three variables are likely to determine the result.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">First, the final voter register: The final number and geographical distribution of eligible voters will establish the real 2026 electoral map.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Second, opposition coordination: If Darboe and Bensouda divide the opposition electorate, Adama Barrow’s plurality advantage becomes powerful. If one emerges as the clear opposition vehicle, Barrow’s margin for error becomes much smaller.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Third, the West Coast Region: The outcome in Brikama and Kanifing could determine whether Adama Barrow’s eastern margins are enough to carry him to another term.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bottom line is that the Gambia’s 2026 presidential election should not be described simply as a referendum on Adama Barrow. It is a contest between three different electoral strategies.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Barrow’s strategy is to preserve the governing coalition, maintain overwhelming eastern support, remain competitive in the West Coast Region and allow the opposition to divide itself.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Darboe’s strategy is to become the principal anti-Barrow candidate, win Lower River and parts of North Bank, break through in Kanifing and Brikama, and reduce Barrow’s eastern margins where possible.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bensouda’s strategy is to turn urban and younger opposition sentiment into a distinct national coalition and establish himself as a credible alternative to both the incumbent and the traditional opposition.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The arithmetic favours Barrow while the opposition remains divided. Yet, the political momentum could favour the opposition if one challenger successfully consolidates the anti-incumbent vote.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And Bensouda is the variable that makes the final result especially difficult to model. The safest conclusion at this stage is therefore not that Barrow will win or that Darboe will win.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is this: Adama Barrow has the easier mathematical path to victory, but his 2021 margin cannot be taken for granted. Ousainu Darboe has a credible route to the presidency, but only if he can convert his strength in the Lower River, North Bank and urban West Coast into a coherent national plurality. Talib Bensouda could either become the presidential candidate who breaks Adama Barrow’s coalition or the candidate whose independent campaign allows Barrow to win with less than half of the vote.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With nominations scheduled for 3rd to 14th November 2026, campaigning from 16th November to 3rd December 2026, and polling on 5th December 2026, the final weeks will determine which of these scenarios becomes reality.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>Dr Ebrima Ceesay is a former Gambian journalist now academic based in the UK.\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n","barrow-darboe-and-bensouda-the-paths-to-victory-in-the-gambias-2026-presidential-election",{"id":15,"createdAt":16,"updatedAt":17,"name":18,"slug":19},"e09ad281-ed90-4121-a1b0-d261e5c5b878","2026-03-30T20:17:07.101Z","2026-06-30T12:40:57.000Z","Gambia","gambia",[21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29],"barrow","darboe","bensouda","paths","victory","gambias","2026","presidential","election",null,{"id":32,"createdAt":33,"updatedAt":34,"name":35,"image":36,"slug":19},"85694ad4-e683-4c41-aa94-cd22c806fd2b","2026-03-30T20:15:32.274Z","2026-08-13T13:04:57.597Z","The Standard Gambia","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.oneclickafrica.com\u002Ffeed\u002Fc5ab8d91-309e-446c-ad42-472e36736b14.jpg",2,"article",16,"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fbarrow-darboe-and-bensouda-the-paths-to-victory-in-the-gambias-2026-presidential-election\u002F",{"status_code":4,"message":30,"data":42,"meta":91},[43,52,60,67,74,81,86],{"id":44,"createdAt":45,"updatedAt":46,"title":47,"target":48,"content":49,"placement":50,"contentType":51},"4c572936-8c19-4274-b913-603c35254736","2026-05-29T10:07:19.607Z","2026-09-22T10:47:19.000Z","Serva Multispecialist Hospital","https:\u002F\u002Fservaspecialisthospital.com","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.oneclickafrica.com\u002Fad\u002F1a4be26d-0bcf-4f88-9a5d-fc8a99dd2d36.mp4","banner","video",{"id":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"title":56,"target":57,"content":58,"placement":59,"contentType":51},"6d19307e-24e7-49a4-b162-b3905fc0859e","2026-04-28T12:42:14.323Z","2026-09-19T09:51:30.000Z","Bloomdaisy Banner","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.instagram.com\u002Fbloomdaisycouture\u002F","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.oneclickafrica.com\u002Fad\u002Fab4b3880-4a32-4f12-b077-dfc26173c745.mp4","feed",{"id":61,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"title":64,"target":65,"content":66,"placement":59,"contentType":51},"7efa3bb4-6ea1-4c3e-8cf7-3425186d214b","2026-04-10T12:10:30.346Z","2026-08-13T03:02:46.880Z","Debyl Feed","https:\u002F\u002Fdebyllimited.com","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.oneclickafrica.com\u002Fad\u002F166b377e-8e7a-4786-8d04-3251f20ba866.mp4",{"id":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"title":71,"target":65,"content":72,"placement":73,"contentType":51},"bdcfd8d7-121a-41fe-bdaa-57a89e00c410","2026-04-10T12:24:30.687Z","2026-10-08T17:46:54.000Z","Debyl Sidebar Ad","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.oneclickafrica.com\u002Fad\u002F351b11a5-38a0-4e2c-811c-a9b032791b36.mp4","sidebar",{"id":75,"createdAt":76,"updatedAt":77,"title":78,"target":79,"content":80,"placement":59,"contentType":51},"6dc9512c-2b9b-4df5-a906-230909ad73e8","2026-04-15T11:46:57.678Z","2026-10-07T18:33:17.000Z","One Click Africa","https:\u002F\u002Foneclickafrica.com\u002Fcontact","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.oneclickafrica.com\u002Fad\u002Fa8506f16-3a36-4ef1-a5d6-d1f7a206d65a.mp4",{"id":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"title":78,"target":79,"content":85,"placement":73,"contentType":51},"7a3252b7-7ab5-4ebf-9553-4af09c50fc1f","2026-04-15T12:04:31.034Z","2026-09-23T15:06:23.000Z","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.oneclickafrica.com\u002Fad\u002Fa0f3f47a-cb21-455a-b5e0-7823e3e83a81.mp4",{"id":87,"createdAt":88,"updatedAt":89,"title":78,"target":79,"content":90,"placement":50,"contentType":51},"c1291508-23ab-45fa-b5cf-db74c2701910","2026-04-15T11:46:50.476Z","2026-10-07T18:32:29.000Z","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.oneclickafrica.com\u002Fad\u002F29c6861d-d32e-4df2-9bdf-9d5d3b4c6b75.mp4",{"total":92},7,{"status_code":4,"message":30,"data":94},[95,114,129,145],{"id":96,"createdAt":97,"updatedAt":98,"title":99,"excerpt":100,"content":101,"slug":102,"topic":103,"tags":104,"image":109,"author":30,"feed":110,"views":111,"type":38,"readTime":112,"externalSourceUrl":113},"131822df-a887-4e9e-a488-02fd239bcf06","2026-10-09T09:50:00.969Z","2026-10-09T10:00:40.000Z","From the desert to the sea: lessons from the camel","By Abdoulie Mam Njie A camel in the sea. The image seems almost impossible. We know the camel as the great traveller of the desert, built to endure scorching heat, scarce water and long journeys across unforgiving terrain. Yet along the coast of Gujarat in India, the Kharai camel has adapted to a very different […]","\n\u003Cdiv class=\"wp-block-group is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\">\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized is-style-rounded\">\u003Cimg decoding=\"async\" width=\"288\" height=\"299\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F09\u002FAbdoulie-Mam-Njie-1.png\" alt=\"Abdoulie Mam Njie 1\" class=\"wp-image-190265\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1;object-fit:cover;width:auto;height:100px\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F09\u002FAbdoulie-Mam-Njie-1.png 288w, https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F09\u002FAbdoulie-Mam-Njie-1-24x24.png 24w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 288px) 100vw, 288px\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>By Abdoulie Mam Njie\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003C\u002Fdiv>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A camel in the sea. The image seems almost impossible. We know the camel as the great traveller of the desert, built to endure scorching heat, scarce water and long journeys across unforgiving terrain. Yet along the coast of Gujarat in India, the Kharai camel has adapted to a very different environment. These remarkable camels swim through the waters of the Gulf of Kutch to reach mangrove islands where they feed, sometimes covering several kilometres in the process.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perhaps that unexpected image carries a lesson for us. We often define ourselves by the environments we have survived, the burdens we have carried and the hardships we have endured. But surviving one season does not mean we are destined to remain in it. Life changes. Circumstances change. And sometimes Allah takes us from one environment into another, asking us not only to endure, but to adapt.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Qur’an invites us to begin by looking closely: “Do they not look at the camels, how they are created?” (Surah Al-Ghashiyah 88:17) The invitation is simple: look. Observe. Reflect. The camel is remarkably adapted to difficult conditions, yet its abilities extend beyond the desert image we have come to associate with it. Perhaps that is one reason creation itself can be a source of reflection. What appears to belong to one world may possess the capacity to navigate another.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And perhaps that is true of us.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We often think strength means enduring whatever life places before us. There is certainly strength in endurance, but there is another kind of strength: knowing when and how to adapt when circumstances change. Human beings need both. There are seasons when patience is required and seasons when Allah opens a new door. Wisdom lies in recognising the difference.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Qur’an reminds us: “Indeed, with hardship comes ease. Indeed, with hardship comes ease.” (Surah Ash-Sharh 94:5–6). Someone who has struggled for years can begin to believe that struggle is all there is. Someone who has carried responsibility for a long time may find it difficult to put the burden down even when circumstances improve. Yet Allah does not ask us to live permanently in survival mode. He also teaches us to recognise and give thanks for His blessings: “If you are grateful, I will surely increase you.” (Surah Ibrahim 14:7).\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is therefore no contradiction between resilience and enjoyment. We can endure difficult circumstances without becoming prisoners of them. Yesterday’s hardship does not necessarily describe tomorrow, just as a season of sacrifice does not mean that joy has been taken away from us forever. Sometimes Allah teaches us through what we are required to endure. At other times, He teaches us through what He allows us to enjoy. Both hardship and ease can bring us closer to Him if we respond to them with patience and gratitude.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is where the imagery of water becomes especially meaningful. Water sustains the body, but the human soul has another kind of thirst. A well known biblical verse captures that longing beautifully: “As the deer pants for streams of water, so my soul longs after you, my God.” (Psalm 42:1). The point is not to compare scriptures, but to recognise something deeply familiar in the human experience. We can possess wealth, status and worldly success and still feel spiritually empty. The soul ultimately seeks its Creator. For the believer, remembrance of Allah, prayer, gratitude and trust provide a nourishment that worldly abundance cannot replace.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Life will bring difficult roads and unexpected openings. When the road is difficult, be patient. When circumstances change, be adaptable. And when Allah brings you into a season of ease, do not become so accustomed to struggle that you fail to recognise the blessing. Gratitude is more than saying Alhamdulillah with the tongue. It is recognising the source of what we have received and using Allah’s blessings in ways that please Him.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ultimately, the deeper lesson is not about the camel. It is about tawakkul, placing our trust in Allah while continuing to do what is required of us. We do not always understand the road He has chosen for us. We see one moment; Allah sees the whole journey. We see the difficulty; He knows what it may produce. We see a closed door; He knows what lies beyond the one He will eventually open.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perhaps this is the spiritual lesson hidden in the camel: the environment that taught you how to survive does not have to be the environment in which you remain. The desert may have taught you endurance, but Allah may yet lead you to water. The burden may have made you strong, but Allah may yet give you rest. The difficult season may have shaped your character, but it does not have the authority to define your future.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So when life becomes difficult, do not despair. When life becomes easy, do not forget Allah. When the road changes, do not assume that you are lost. Sometimes what feels like a departure from everything familiar is simply another part of the journey Allah has written for you.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Qur’anic command to look at the camel is therefore more than an invitation to admire creation. It is an invitation to reflect on the Creator and on ourselves. If Allah can create a creature known for crossing the desert and give some camels the ability to cross the sea, then perhaps we should be careful about deciding what is impossible for us.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We may not know where the journey is leading. We may not understand why one season had to be so difficult. But we can trust the One who sees the entire journey while we see only the road beneath our feet.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The desert is not always the destination. The hardship is not always the ending. And the season you are in is not the whole story.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perhaps Allah is teaching you how to survive today because He is preparing you to navigate tomorrow.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stay patient in the desert. Be grateful when you reach the water. And in every season, keep your heart turned towards Allah. Allah knows best.\u003C\u002Fp>\n","from-the-desert-to-the-sea-lessons-from-the-camel",{"id":15,"createdAt":16,"updatedAt":17,"name":18,"slug":19},[105,106,107,108],"desert","sea","lessons","camel","https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F09\u002FAbdoulie-Mam-Njie-1.png",{"id":32,"createdAt":33,"updatedAt":34,"name":35,"image":36,"slug":19},5,6,"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Ffrom-the-desert-to-the-sea-lessons-from-the-camel\u002F",{"id":115,"createdAt":97,"updatedAt":116,"title":117,"excerpt":118,"content":119,"slug":120,"topic":121,"tags":122,"image":125,"author":30,"feed":126,"views":111,"type":38,"readTime":127,"externalSourceUrl":128},"57d791d9-e593-4b7e-8964-63bb426a691f","2026-10-09T12:33:50.000Z","Gambia’s most serious challenges","By Imam Alhaji Muhamad al-Amine Jabbi The Gambia is currently confronted with three serious and interconnected challenges that, if left inadequately addressed, could have significant consequences for social cohesion, public institutions, and the country’s economic and political stability. First, is the growing prominence of ethnic and political polarisation. The Gambia has long taken pride in […]","\n\u003Cdiv class=\"wp-block-group is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\">\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-style-rounded wp-container-content-b0827016\">\u003Cimg decoding=\"async\" width=\"355\" height=\"401\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F10\u002FJabbi.jpeg\" alt=\"Jabbi\" class=\"wp-image-190982\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1;object-fit:cover;object-position:51% 95%\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F10\u002FJabbi.jpeg 355w, https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F10\u002FJabbi-266x300.jpeg 266w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 355px) 100vw, 355px\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>By Imam Alhaji Muhamad al-Amine Jabbi\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003C\u002Fdiv>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Gambia is currently confronted with three serious and interconnected challenges that, if left inadequately addressed, could have significant consequences for social cohesion, public institutions, and the country’s economic and political stability.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">First, is the growing prominence of ethnic and political polarisation. The Gambia has long taken pride in the peaceful coexistence of its diverse ethnic and linguistic communities. However, recent political discourse has raised concerns about the increasing use of ethnic identity and political affiliation in electoral mobilisation. Several senior figures associated with the ruling National People’s Party (NPP) have faced public criticism over remarks perceived by opponents and sections of the public as divisive or ethnically charged. These controversies have included statements attributed to former presidential adviser the late Dembo “By Force” Bojang, presidential adviser for political affairs Saihou Mballow, and Deputy Speaker of the National Assembly Seedy Njie. For example, Njie faced widespread criticism in 2026 following a leaked audio recording in which he was alleged to have discussed blocking appointments involving members of the opposition United Democratic Party (UDP) and Mandinka individuals.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More recently, Minister of Lands, Regional Government and Religious Affairs Hamat Bah was widely criticised following remarks at an NPP political gathering in Farafenni. Bah stated that “this country will never be Lebanon” and that “no foreigner will run this country”. Although he did not explicitly name a presidential candidate, some commentators and political actors interpreted the remarks as a reference to Talib Bensouda, leader of the Unite party. The comments have generated renewed debate about the role of nationality, ancestry, ethnicity, and identity in the 2026 electoral discourse. Such rhetoric is particularly concerning in a politically competitive environment because repeated appeals to ethnic or perceived outsider identities can deepen social divisions and undermine the longstanding ideal of an inclusive Gambian national identity.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Second is the growing concern over patronage and politicisation within the civil service. The Gambian civil service was historically regarded as an important institution of professional administration, but concerns about nepotism, favouritism, and political influence have increasingly entered public discourse. The perception that employment and advancement may depend not only on qualifications and professional competence but also on political connections or affiliation has weakened confidence in merit-based public administration. The frequently repeated expression that “it is not what you know, but who you know” reflects this broader public perception. Reports on governance in The Gambia have similarly identified nepotism and the politicisation of public institutions as factors that can undermine institutional effectiveness and public confidence. If perceptions of political exclusion become entrenched, they risk diminishing morale among civil servants, discouraging qualified citizens from public service, and weakening the neutrality and professionalism that are essential to an effective state.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Third, and perhaps most consequential, is corruption and its relationship to poverty and institutional weakness. Corruption can impose substantial social and economic costs, particularly where citizens must navigate public institutions to obtain essential services. Concerns about bribery, embezzlement, nepotism, misuse of public resources, and allegations of kickbacks have contributed to declining public confidence in government institutions. The US Department of State has reported that bribery, embezzlement, and nepotism are significant concerns in The Gambia and that the politicisation of key institutions can foster patronage and favouritism. At the everyday level, allegations of petty bribery can make access to public services more difficult for citizens with limited financial means. At the broader level, the alleged mismanagement of public funds and development resources can reduce the resources available for poverty reduction, public infrastructure, healthcare, education, and other essential services.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These three challenges — ethnic polarisation, the politicisation of public institutions, and corruption — are closely interconnected. When political competition becomes increasingly organised around identity, when access to public employment is perceived to depend on political loyalty, and when public resources are vulnerable to corruption and patronage, citizens’ confidence in state institutions can deteriorate. Addressing these challenges therefore requires more than isolated interventions. It requires sustained efforts to strengthen merit-based public administration, improve transparency and accountability, enforce anti-corruption measures, and promote political discourse that emphasises citizenship and national inclusion rather than ethnic, ancestral, or partisan divisions.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Gambia’s reputation for peaceful coexistence and social stability is an important national asset. Preserving that legacy requires political leaders, public officials, civil society, and citizens alike to recognise the risks associated with divisive rhetoric, institutional patronage, and corruption and to support reforms that strengthen accountable, inclusive, and professional governance.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cem>Alhaji Muhamad al-Amine Jabbi is a Gambian imam based in Paris, France\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n","gambias-most-serious-challenges",{"id":15,"createdAt":16,"updatedAt":17,"name":18,"slug":19},[26,123,124],"serious","challenges","https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2026\u002F10\u002FJabbi.jpeg",{"id":32,"createdAt":33,"updatedAt":34,"name":35,"image":36,"slug":19},4,"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fgambias-most-serious-challenges\u002F",{"id":130,"createdAt":131,"updatedAt":132,"title":133,"excerpt":134,"content":135,"slug":136,"topic":137,"tags":138,"image":30,"author":30,"feed":143,"views":127,"type":38,"readTime":37,"externalSourceUrl":144},"64f3294d-f025-440b-913e-7c595451fc73","2026-10-09T10:10:00.594Z","2026-10-09T12:34:49.000Z","G-Bissau moves to postpone December election","By Allen Yero Embalo Guinea-Bissau’s electoral commission announced yesterday that conditions had not been met to organise its 6th December presidential and legislative vote, which was meant to restore civilian rule after a coup last November. Junta leader General Horta N’Tam summoned the National Electoral Commission (CNE) for a meeting, its vice president Felisberta Moura […]","\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003Cstrong>By Allen Yero Embalo\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Guinea-Bissau’s electoral commission announced yesterday that conditions had not been met to organise its 6th December presidential and legislative vote, which was meant to restore civilian rule after a coup last November.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Junta leader General Horta N’Tam summoned the National Electoral Commission (CNE) for a meeting, its vice president Felisberta Moura Vaz told reporters.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She said the body had informed him that the “conditions necessary to organise elections by 6th December will not be met”.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When asked by journalists about the possibility of delaying the vote, Vaz replied: “I will not say that the elections will be postponed. That is a matter for the transitional president”, another title held by N’Tam.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The army in Guinea-Bissau seized power last November just days after a presidential vote, overthrowing president Umaro Sissoco Embalo and suspending the electoral process.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The junta established under N’Tam, a close associate of Embalo, had set 6th December as the date for presidential and legislative elections meant to restore civilian rule.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N’Tam’s prime minister, Ilidio Vieira Te, said yesterday that “the conditions for holding credible elections do not exist”.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He said that “no political party is yet in an ideal position to contest the elections” and that “the leadership of most of these parties is outdated. This calls for a renewal of the grassroots organisations”.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In August Guinea-Bissau’s leaders held a referendum in which voters ushered in a constitutional change that gives the president more powers.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The junta said the change would stabilise institutions before the elections, but the opposition urged citizens to boycott the process.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lucie Peytermann and Becca Milfeld in Dakar contributed to this story\u003C\u002Fp>\n","g-bissau-moves-to-postpone-december-election",{"id":15,"createdAt":16,"updatedAt":17,"name":18,"slug":19},[139,140,141,142,29],"gbissau","moves","postpone","december",{"id":32,"createdAt":33,"updatedAt":34,"name":35,"image":36,"slug":19},"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fg-bissau-moves-to-postpone-december-election\u002F",{"id":146,"createdAt":131,"updatedAt":132,"title":147,"excerpt":148,"content":149,"slug":150,"topic":151,"tags":152,"image":30,"author":30,"feed":155,"views":127,"type":38,"readTime":37,"externalSourceUrl":156},"c7386c85-0e78-4278-99e0-99fe43383c9f","Barrow raps Darboe on election prediction","President Adama Barrow has hit back at opposition leader Ousainu Darboe over his claim that he would not win the December 2026 presidential election even if he were to open the vaults of Central Bank and spent the money on electioneering. Barrow made this remark during the ongoing Meet The People Tour meeting in Taibatu, […]","\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">President Adama Barrow has hit back at opposition leader Ousainu Darboe over his claim that he would not win the December 2026 presidential election even if he were to open the vaults of Central Bank and spent the money on electioneering.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Barrow made this remark during the ongoing Meet The People Tour meeting in Taibatu, Upper River Region.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He dismissed Darboe’s statement arguing that his victories in the 2016 and 2021 elections showed he could defeat his opponents without relying on money from the Central Bank.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> “I’ve heard him say that even if I take money from the Central Bank, I will not win the election, and he will win it. But I’ll give him a curt response. The candidate [President Yahya Jammeh] I defeated in 2016 had the keys to the Central Bank. He had the police, marabouts, witches and jinns, yet I beat him! Can a knife that killed an elephant, fail to slaughter a chicken? And he [Darboe] should know that in 2021, I didn’t take money from the Central Bank but I still beat him,” Barrow waxed lyrically.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The president said contrary to the forecast of the Doubting Thomases, he will perform better in the upcoming election. He cited “massive support” for him in the north bank, and upper river regions including the Wulis.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Barrow criticised Darboe’s political appeal and said no one can pull the wool over the faces of voters in rural Gambia.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> “The people have opened their eyes. No one can fool the Gambian electorate this time around,” he chirped.\u003C\u002Fp>\n","barrow-raps-darboe-on-election-prediction",{"id":15,"createdAt":16,"updatedAt":17,"name":18,"slug":19},[21,153,22,29,154],"raps","prediction",{"id":32,"createdAt":33,"updatedAt":34,"name":35,"image":36,"slug":19},"https:\u002F\u002Fstandard.gm\u002Fbarrow-raps-darboe-on-election-prediction\u002F",{"status_code":4,"message":158,"data":159},"Top navigation retrieved successfully",[160,166,172,178,184,190,196],{"id":161,"createdAt":162,"updatedAt":163,"name":164,"slug":165},"b2fd4aec-5546-486a-a3f4-eea60b1434f5","2026-03-26T09:17:24.918Z","2026-04-23T08:59:18.000Z","Hot Topics","hot-topics",{"id":167,"createdAt":168,"updatedAt":169,"name":170,"slug":171},"61adefb2-a0a9-4d1d-a02a-7168a954b173","2026-03-26T09:12:43.334Z","2026-05-21T22:16:04.000Z","Politics","politics",{"id":173,"createdAt":174,"updatedAt":175,"name":176,"slug":177},"412ac379-b7f4-41e6-9284-1b23abd75193","2026-03-26T09:08:28.975Z","2026-04-22T15:05:10.000Z","Global Updates","global-updates",{"id":179,"createdAt":180,"updatedAt":181,"name":182,"slug":183},"01411baa-e805-4390-8629-929c4f90c093","2026-03-25T11:58:27.451Z","2026-05-21T11:24:07.000Z","Entertainment","entertainment",{"id":185,"createdAt":186,"updatedAt":187,"name":188,"slug":189},"f533efbb-008f-4539-9a0b-c6f71297a9f4","2026-03-25T11:41:34.472Z","2026-05-21T16:44:38.000Z","Business","business",{"id":191,"createdAt":192,"updatedAt":193,"name":194,"slug":195},"556591a5-3420-482a-9592-6b4ae49829b3","2026-03-25T11:40:22.480Z","2026-05-21T16:39:17.000Z","Sports","sports",{"id":197,"createdAt":198,"updatedAt":199,"name":200,"slug":201},"07a1a269-9188-41fc-9145-0ab7ca6d29e6","2026-03-25T11:39:56.272Z","2026-05-21T16:37:48.000Z","Africa","africa",{"status_code":4,"message":30,"data":203},[204,205,206,207,208,209,210,211,212,213,214,215,216,217,218,219,220,221,222,223],"Chinese eye implant helps blind man recognise letters, avoid obstacles","How to find a calorie deficit that fits your weight loss goal","NNPC clarifies petrol discount, denies return of fuel subsidy","World Mental Health Day 2026 – ‘Lived Experiences Heard, Real Voices, Real Change’","Have you become a threat to your leader?","Nigeria’s industrial policy needs factories, not paper – Ex-UNIDO chief","Everton owners consider sale two years after takeover","Mental health care must be made affordable for young Nigerians — NMA","IGP Disu posts new police PROs to commands","NCC CEO Maida tasks staff on improved customer service, accountability","Lagos Govt raises alarm over social media impact on children’s mental health","2028 Olympics Qualifier: Comoros Coach Abdallah Targets Historic Win Over Super Falcons","Oyo: Hoodlums who attacked your wife, candidates are APC members – Makinde tells Alli","OccupyGhana warns EOCO, BNI against using investigations as punishment","Mahama visits Ahafo Region to inspect development projects","Transfers: Ohale joins Como, Gift Monday switches to Boston Legacy FC","Tech Scammer Elizabeth Holmes Focus Of Documentary By Absurdist Nathan Fielder","Saint Laurent Designer Vaccarello Leaves After Glittering Decade","Ghana rejects FBI claim on cybercrime raid leadership","Obidient Movement proposes half-price petrol under Obi",{"status_code":4,"message":158,"data":225},[226,310,322,700,752,764,803,965,1397,1508,1590,1604,1630,1637,1656,1683,1708,1715,1729,1736,1744,1751,1776,1783,1790,1809,1866],{"id":179,"createdAt":180,"updatedAt":181,"name":182,"slug":183,"children":227},[228,234,241,248,279,285,291,298,304],{"id":229,"createdAt":230,"updatedAt":230,"name":231,"slug":232,"children":233},"22aa138b-f7a2-422a-826b-c6643d15c06a","2026-07-06T17:22:39.680Z","Hollywood","hollywood",[],{"id":235,"createdAt":236,"updatedAt":237,"name":238,"slug":239,"children":240},"33d647d8-f7db-47fe-9ba1-4c9b29555c25","2026-06-10T13:18:17.139Z","2026-07-15T22:08:06.000Z","Big Brother Naija","big-brother-naija",[],{"id":242,"createdAt":243,"updatedAt":244,"name":245,"slug":246,"children":247},"41afd32a-1236-4806-a0eb-03b77e0bf570","2026-03-26T09:13:58.778Z","2026-05-21T15:44:11.000Z","Music","music",[],{"id":249,"createdAt":250,"updatedAt":250,"name":251,"slug":252,"children":253},"764e4080-657f-400f-a2d4-eee3d235332d","2026-04-23T11:16:42.052Z","Celebrities","celebrities",[254,260,267,273],{"id":255,"createdAt":256,"updatedAt":256,"name":257,"slug":258,"children":259},"636654fe-cd51-4947-8c04-379fae3f44c0","2026-10-09T09:46:22.009Z","Wizkid","wizkid",[],{"id":261,"createdAt":262,"updatedAt":263,"name":264,"slug":265,"children":266},"865e4aa1-25dc-4955-bfd7-5a8053bacf8d","2026-07-16T10:13:38.466Z","2026-10-09T09:31:46.000Z","Davido","davido",[],{"id":268,"createdAt":269,"updatedAt":269,"name":270,"slug":271,"children":272},"9af248fe-b2f8-4cdc-81c0-dda4ffc71aeb","2026-04-30T09:06:37.427Z","Phyna","phyna",[],{"id":274,"createdAt":275,"updatedAt":275,"name":276,"slug":277,"children":278},"a5f2784a-b6bc-4485-892c-2c141a5a6b4b","2026-05-02T08:39:02.783Z","Portable","portable",[],{"id":280,"createdAt":281,"updatedAt":281,"name":282,"slug":283,"children":284},"8561303e-67af-4434-9f1e-b65838a33e38","2026-05-02T09:04:09.809Z","Fashion & Style","fashion-and-style",[],{"id":286,"createdAt":287,"updatedAt":287,"name":288,"slug":289,"children":290},"9fa9121b-c84e-4962-832d-e443e4323a0b","2026-03-26T09:13:44.708Z","Gossip","gossip",[],{"id":292,"createdAt":293,"updatedAt":294,"name":295,"slug":296,"children":297},"bf62114b-4129-4c79-a779-be8629cff93f","2026-04-02T08:52:05.029Z","2026-07-15T22:09:28.000Z","Nollywood","nollywood",[],{"id":299,"createdAt":300,"updatedAt":300,"name":301,"slug":302,"children":303},"cbaaab16-eed1-4447-a40f-f262b9f5b947","2026-06-29T11:42:24.057Z","Cartoon","cartoon",[],{"id":305,"createdAt":306,"updatedAt":306,"name":307,"slug":308,"children":309},"cd47e90e-e61f-44f7-8861-9e242088b007","2026-03-26T09:14:20.502Z","Weddings & Events","weddings-and-events",[],{"id":311,"createdAt":312,"updatedAt":312,"name":313,"slug":314,"children":315},"051a1c11-0363-4945-b075-3c908451f951","2026-06-26T11:11:57.321Z","Disaster","disaster",[316],{"id":317,"createdAt":318,"updatedAt":318,"name":319,"slug":320,"children":321},"7eaefac2-0e0a-49f3-8daf-efe75f8058c7","2026-06-30T14:37:32.863Z","Flood","flood",[],{"id":197,"createdAt":198,"updatedAt":199,"name":200,"slug":201,"children":323},[324,331,338,344,351,357,364,371,378,385,391,397,658,665,671,685,687],{"id":325,"createdAt":326,"updatedAt":327,"name":328,"slug":329,"children":330},"116ce052-bd00-4266-b7d9-071a4d5d1357","2026-04-14T09:22:01.906Z","2026-05-21T15:59:07.000Z","Sudan","sudan",[],{"id":332,"createdAt":333,"updatedAt":334,"name":335,"slug":336,"children":337},"17f53ba6-315f-4772-ac96-16c086c9890e","2026-03-26T08:59:47.263Z","2026-05-21T17:01:07.000Z","Ethopia","ethopia",[],{"id":339,"createdAt":340,"updatedAt":340,"name":341,"slug":342,"children":343},"253e0961-b2ac-4884-a1f9-44b7d8c3e72a","2026-04-22T09:50:59.911Z","Somalia","somalia",[],{"id":345,"createdAt":346,"updatedAt":347,"name":348,"slug":349,"children":350},"37fcac8f-5e0d-49a4-bf7c-294dd0916f8e","2026-05-22T11:38:30.941Z","2026-06-30T12:40:41.000Z","Senegal","senegal",[],{"id":352,"createdAt":353,"updatedAt":353,"name":354,"slug":355,"children":356},"4405df2d-53f9-4a9f-bfff-d215f822f715","2026-04-28T15:16:56.206Z","Uganda","uganda",[],{"id":358,"createdAt":359,"updatedAt":360,"name":361,"slug":362,"children":363},"50c92844-2e7d-45f3-8198-6a7f142537b2","2026-04-23T11:47:42.796Z","2026-06-26T20:37:29.000Z","Tanzania","tanzania",[],{"id":365,"createdAt":366,"updatedAt":367,"name":368,"slug":369,"children":370},"64222852-9695-45dc-9a70-83e05e7fbd61","2026-03-27T09:13:15.884Z","2026-05-22T15:32:21.000Z","Ghana","ghana",[],{"id":372,"createdAt":373,"updatedAt":374,"name":375,"slug":376,"children":377},"6896e2fa-37c0-44b7-a52d-da81ea87a1c2","2026-04-02T09:28:39.429Z","2026-05-21T21:49:44.000Z","Angola","angola",[],{"id":379,"createdAt":380,"updatedAt":381,"name":382,"slug":383,"children":384},"81a63cf4-2fe0-42d7-a783-c3bfdd5fcc6d","2026-03-25T12:05:32.077Z","2026-05-22T21:03:03.000Z","Kenya","kenya",[],{"id":386,"createdAt":387,"updatedAt":387,"name":388,"slug":389,"children":390},"904b6b2d-7a69-4866-80e7-6fb7d4a52888","2026-05-18T21:56:31.744Z","ECOWAS","ecowas",[],{"id":392,"createdAt":393,"updatedAt":393,"name":394,"slug":395,"children":396},"a71100a3-b8f1-491d-9ea3-0f1b5d33a6d3","2026-05-22T22:15:11.040Z","DR Congo","dr-congo",[],{"id":398,"createdAt":399,"updatedAt":400,"name":401,"slug":402,"children":403},"af2efbea-0d85-4fdf-a1c3-2400868c9e10","2026-03-25T11:40:10.958Z","2026-05-21T21:50:14.000Z","Nigeria","nigeria",[404,411,418,424,431,438,445,464,470,477,484,491,497,503,510,517,523,530,537,544,551,558,565,572,579,586,593,600,607,613,620,627,633,639,646,652],{"id":405,"createdAt":406,"updatedAt":407,"name":408,"slug":409,"children":410},"017d00d7-c0bd-4d66-acf1-86baa7170c97","2026-04-02T21:27:55.383Z","2026-05-21T15:59:38.000Z","Kwara","kwara",[],{"id":412,"createdAt":413,"updatedAt":414,"name":415,"slug":416,"children":417},"06eb2722-e0ab-4320-a72d-2890a37f81d2","2026-05-13T10:09:45.562Z","2026-05-21T16:00:23.000Z","Osun","osun",[],{"id":419,"createdAt":420,"updatedAt":420,"name":421,"slug":422,"children":423},"0e0313a5-dd8f-459b-9607-7d519392b258","2026-05-22T07:43:31.559Z","Cross 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