As a Department for Critical Thinking and Alternative Analysis at the Karamoja Anti-Corruption Coalition, we have been analysing some political commentaries, including social media noise in Uganda. Our analysis shows that some sections of Ugandans are living in pure denial about General Muhoozi Kainerugaba’s presidential ambitions. Here, in this article, we will show that Kainerugaba’s presidential candidacy is not a matter of blind endorsement, but an exercise in transition realism.
For purposes of scientific evidence, let us cite Professor Kristof Titeca, a well-known researcher on transition politics in Uganda. Kristof, in “Uganda after Museveni,” posed a question: “…What will happen to Uganda’s leadership and politics when Museveni is no longer president…?” He continues: “…Will Muhoozi take the lead…?” (Kristof 2026). That question will be partly answered here.
If one is to examine the available evidence, PLU is seriously mobilising, bringing hope to Ugandans through anti-corruption crusades and endorsing Gen. Muhoozi for the presidency in 2031, an indicator that they have already positioned him as the next President.
Some people will question how; does it mean Gen. Muhoozi will be the only candidate in the race? But as the Department for Critical Thinking, we can state here that PLU has strategically organised and will rely on President Museveni’s networks internationally and nationally in Uganda to position Muhoozi and win any elections in Uganda.
As Moses Khisa, an associate professor of political science and Africana studies at North Carolina State University and a research fellow in political science at Stellenbosch University, South Africa, stated, General Muhoozi’s role in the 2026 elections highlighted his place in the power hierarchy and succession queue.
Therefore, this is the reason we argue here that some Ugandans Must Stop Living in Denial About a Gen. Muhoozi Presidency.
The argument here is that Ugandans should not ignore the possibility of a political transition involving Gen. Muhoozi. They should examine what such a transition could mean and prepare themselves politically rather than pretending it is not happening.
Ayub Mukisa, PhD, writes from the Department for Critical Thinking and Alternative Analysis at the Karamoja Anti-Corruption Coalition (KACC).
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